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Wycombe Wanderers
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Adams Park
Portsmouth

Wycombe
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Obita (4'), Jacobson (45'), McCarthy (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harness (73')
Bass (81')

Preview: Wycombe Wanderers vs. Portsmouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wycombe Wanderers will be looking to claim their first victory in November when they welcome Portsmouth to Adams Park for their League One encounter on Saturday afternoon.

The Chairboys have won only one of their last six matches across all competitions, while the visitors are unbeaten in each of their last five games.


Match preview

Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth pictured on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Wycombe Wanderers remain one of the strong contenders to secure promotion to the Championship this season, with just three points separating them from League One leaders Wigan Athletic.

Gareth Ainsworth – who has been nominated for October's Manager of the Month award – will have been pleased with his side's start to life back in the third tier, though their form across all competitions in November has left a little to be desired.

A disappointing 4-1 loss at home against Ipswich Town in the league was followed by a 2-2 draw in the FA Cup against League Two outfit Hartlepool United last weekend, before the Chairboys suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat at home against Burton Albion in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday, albeit with a much-rotated side.

Nevertheless, Wycombe can be confident of success heading into Saturday's encounter against Portsmouth as they have a decent home record against them, having lost only one of their five meetings at Adams Park.

With both Wigan and Rotherham United not playing this weekend – after their fixtures were postponed due to the international break – the Chairboys could climb to the top of League One with a victory against Pompey, if Plymouth Argyle in second were to lose their clash against Accrington Stanley.

Portsmouth manager Danny Cowley pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Currently sitting in 14th place and a third of the way through the campaign, Portsmouth fans would have hoped for their club to be much higher in the League One standings than where they are now.

Pompey were eight points better off and nine places higher at this stage of last season, however five wins, five draws and six defeats so far this campaign sees them placed just five points above the relegation zone and seven behind the playoffs.

Portsmouth's erratic October form – which included an impressive 4-0 win against Sunderland before losing 4-1 and 4-0 to Rotherham United and Ipswich respectively – seems to have come to an end in November, with three victories and one draw from their four matches across all competitions.

Danny Cowley's side have progressed in two different cup competitions within the last week; a slender 1-0 win in the FA Cup at home against seventh-tier side Harrow Borough was followed by a 3-0 triumph against Crystal Palace Under-21s in the group stages of the EFL Trophy on Tuesday.

Portsmouth will hope to continue their five-game unbeaten run across all competitions with a positive result on Saturday, though they head to Adams Park after failing to win any of their last nine matches on the road. They are also up against tough opponents this weekend as they face a Wycombe side who have won six of their seven home games in the league this season.

Wycombe Wanderers League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Wycombe Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Portsmouth League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Portsmouth form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W


Team News

Wycombe Wanderers' Brandon Hanlan celebrates after scoring their second goal with teammates on October 9, 2021© Reuters

After resting a plethora of players in midweek, Ainsworth is set to recall several first-team members to his starting lineup on Saturday.

Having played with a back four in each of the last three meetings against Portsmouth, Wycombe are expected to set up with the same system once again, with defensive quartet Jack Grimmer, Anthony Stewart, Ryan Tafazolli and Joe Jacobson all likely to start, shielding goalkeeper David Stockdale.

Josh Scowen, Curtis Thompson and Dominic Gape could all operate in central midfield, while Sam Vokes and Brandon Hanlan are set to partner each other up front.

The hosts will be without Tjay De Barr, Sullay Kaikai and Daryl Horgan, who are all away on international duty for their respective nations, while top goalscorer Gareth McCleary remains a doubt with a shoulder injury.

As for Portsmouth, they are also set to make several chances to their starting lineup from midweek, though Manchester City loanee and goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu as well as midfielder Joe Morrell are unavailable as they are both away on international duty.

Club captain Clark Robertson is a doubt with a hip problem, while Ellis Harrison and Jayden Reid remain unavailable due to respective ankle and knee injuries.

Attacking trio Marcus Harness, Ronan Curtis and John Marquis, who were all rested in midweek, are expected to return to the first XI on Saturday.

Wycombe Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Stockdale; Grimmer, Stewart, Tafazolli, Jacobson; Gape, Thompson, Scowen; Mehmeti; Hanlan, Vokes

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bass; Romeo, Raggett, Ogilvie, Brown; Tunnicliffe, Williams; Harness, Hackett-Fairchild, Curtis; Marquis


SM words green background

We say: Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Portsmouth

The contrasting form in recent weeks of Wycombe and Portsmouth suggests that Saturday's encounter is now set to be a much closer affair.

There is little to separate these two teams, though we feel the Chairboys can return to winning ways and edge out their opponents at Adams Park.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Wycombe vs Portsmouth

Wycombe Wanderers
78.4%
Draw
5.4%
Portsmouth
16.2%
37
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Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth pictured in February 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
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6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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