World Cup Qualifying - Asia Gameweek 10
Jun 10, 2025 2.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Uzbekistan vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jun 5, 2025 5.00pm
UAE 0 - 0 Uzbekistan

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jun 5, 2025 7.15pm
Qatar 1 - 0 Iran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (5.83%).

Result

Uzbekistan 58.7% (-2.05)
Draw 22.55% (+0.63)
Qatar 18.75% (+1.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.04% (+0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.43% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 47.57% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 30.22% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 69.78% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 14.83% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 85.17% (+0.29)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 84.12% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 15.88% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 54.91% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 45.09% (+1.54)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% (+1.41)
Under 0.5 39.32% (-1.41)
Over 1.5 23.97% (+1.29)
Under 1.5 76.03% (-1.29)

Score analysis

Uzbekistan 58.69%
Draw 22.55%
Qatar 18.75%
Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.15)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.61% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.55%
Qatar
0-1 @ 5.83% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 5.01% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 2.72% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.56% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.75%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 14, 2024 12.00am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Almoez Ali 25' goal
  • Almoez Ali 41' goal
  • Ahmed Fathi 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mendes 90' goal
  • Mohammed Al Bayati 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaloliddin Masharipov 73'
  • goal Abbosbek Fayzullaev 75'
  • goal Abbosbek Fayzullaev 80'
Asian Cup
Feb 3, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Al Bayt Stadium
  • Hassan Al Heidos 27' goal
  • Meshaal Barsham 46' yellowcard
  • Khalid Muneer 89' yellowcard
  • Almoez Ali 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ro-Ro 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Srecko Katanec 47'
  • goal Odiljon Khamrobekov 59'
  • yellowcard Otabek Shukurov 69'
  • yellowcard Rustamjon Ashurmatov 90'
International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Milliy Stadion (Toshkent (Tashkent))
  • Odil Akhmedov 73' goal
  • Ikram Alibaev 79' yellowcard
  • Marat Bikmaev 86' goal
  • yellowcard Almoez Ali 22'
  • yellowcard Abdulaziz Hatem 57'