World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 6.15pm UK

Iraq
2 - 2
Kuwait

Hashem (90', 90'), Bayesh (90', 90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Naser (39', 39', 70', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Kuwait, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 1-3 Saudi Arabia
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Palestine vs. Iraq
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Kuwait

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Kuwait
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Kuwait vs. Oman
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kuwait had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Kuwait win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Kuwait
57.02% ( -0.54)	23.3% ( 0.33)	19.68% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 50.27% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

-1.06)

49.39% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.96)

71.44% (

0.96)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-0.57)

17.1% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

-1.01)

47.29% (

1.01)

Kuwait Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.64% (

-0.38)

39.36% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94% (

-0.36)

76.06% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Iraq 57.01%

Kuwait 19.68%

Draw 23.3%

Iraq	Draw	Kuwait
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.68%