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World Cup

Canada national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 2.05am UK
BMO Field
Costa Rica national football team

Canada
1 - 0
Costa Rica

David (57')
Laryea (18'), Vitoria (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennette (24'), Blanco (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Canada in this match.

Result
CanadaDrawCosta Rica
58.38%26.53%15.09%
Both teams to score 34.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.99%66.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.41%84.59%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88%23.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02%56.98%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.94%55.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.08%87.92%
Score Analysis
    Canada 58.37%
    Costa Rica 15.09%
    Draw 26.52%
CanadaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 18.64%
2-0 @ 13.65%
2-1 @ 8.15%
3-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.98%
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.37%
0-0 @ 12.72%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 15.09%

How you voted: Canada vs Costa Rica

Canada
91.4%
Draw
4.3%
Costa Rica
4.3%
70