Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.