Women's Champions League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Manchester United Women vs Atletico Madrid Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Madrid 0 - 3 Man Utd

Atletico Madrid Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Madrid 0 - 3 Man Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Atletico Madrid Women has a probability of 23.59% and a draw has a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid Women win is 0-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Manchester United Women 53.29%
Draw 23.19%
Atletico Madrid Women 23.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.1%
Under 2.5 45.9%
Over 3.5 31.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.66% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.82% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.18% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Manchester United Women 40.33%
Draw 37.1%
Atletico Madrid Women 22.57%

Team To Score First

Manchester United Women 58.52% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.03% (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid Women 35.45%

Corners

Over 8 47.28%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 41.15%
Over 9 36.41%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 52.72%
Over 10.5 26.97%
Under 10.5 73.03%

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 1.5 51.06%
Under 1.5 48.94%
Over 2.5 25.27%
Under 2.5 74.73%
Over 3.5 10.38%
Under 3.5 89.62%

Atletico Madrid Women Goals

Over 0.5 58.89%
Under 0.5 41.11%
Over 1.5 26.6%
Under 1.5 73.4%
Over 2.5 9.17% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.76%
Under 3.5 97.24%

Score analysis

Manchester United Women 53.3%
Draw 23.19%
Atletico Madrid Women 23.6%
Manchester United Women
1-0 @ 10.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 10.18%
Total : 53.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.19%
Atletico Madrid Women
0-1 @ 6.34%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 23.6%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Xenia Perez 44' yellowcard
  • Kathrine Moller Kuhl 59' yellowcard
  • Rosa Otermin Abella 59' yellowcard
  • Sheila Guijarro 73' yellowcard
  • Giovana Queiroz 74' yellowcard
  • goal Elisabeth Terland 3'
  • goal Melvine Malard 39'
  • yellowcard Gabby George 49'
  • yellowcard Lisa Naalsund 61'
  • goal Julia Zigiotti-Olme 81'
  • yellowcard Simisola Feyishayo Awujo 83'
Women's Champions League
Oct 16, 2025 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT