Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Atletico Madrid Women had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid Women win was 0-1 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.