Women's Champions League
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm

Atletico Madrid Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid Women

All competitions

Manchester United Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid Women win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Manchester United Women has a probability of 31.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win is 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).

Result

Atletico Madrid Women 45.16% (-0.11)
Draw 23.31% (-0.04)
Manchester United Women 31.53% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.76% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.74% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.26% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.8% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 41.2% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 36.4% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.6% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.21% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.79% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid Women 33.44% (-0.18)
Draw 40.36% (+0.11)
Manchester United Women 26.2% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid Women 53.28% (-0.09)
No Goal 4.8% (-0.03)
Manchester United Women 41.92% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 45.83%
Equal 8 11.97%
Under 8 42.2%
Over 9 34.72%
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 54.17%
Over 10.5 25.22%
Under 10.5 74.78%

Atletico Madrid Women Goals

Over 1.5 47.69% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 52.31% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 23.5% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.5% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.2% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.8% (+0.02)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 32.96% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.7% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.3% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.9% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid Women 45.17%
Draw 23.31%
Manchester United Women 31.53%
Atletico Madrid Women
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.03% (-0.01)
Total : 45.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 23.31%
Manchester United Women
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.93% (+0.03)
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Oct 16, 2025 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT