Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.88% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 7.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%) , while for a Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.