Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 15, 2026 11.55am
Villa Park

Aston Villa Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 12.00pm
Aston Villa 3 - 7 Spurs
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Kirsty Hanson

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
Man City 6 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw has a probability of 11.88% and a win for Aston Villa Women has a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win is 0-3 with a probability of 7.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.81%) , while for a Aston Villa Women win it is 2-1 (2.22%).

Result

Aston Villa Women 9.33% (-0.01)
Draw 11.88%
Manchester City Women 78.76% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 91.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 8.97% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 77.79% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 22.21% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 61.19% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 38.81% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 50.17% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 49.83% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa Women 16.7%
Draw 29.39%
Manchester City Women 53.91%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa Women 25.26% (-0.05)
No Goal 2.05%
Manchester City Women 72.69% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 63.25% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.03%
Under 8 26.72% (+0.09)
Over 9 52.59% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 36.75% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 42.12% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 57.88% (+0.09)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 1.5 15.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 84.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.68% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% (-0.01)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 92.9% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 7.1% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 80.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 61.28% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 38.72% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 42.71% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 57.29% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 9.34%
Draw 11.89%
Manchester City Women 78.77%
Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 2.22%
1-0 @ 2%
2-0 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 9.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.81%
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.05%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.27% (+0.02)
Total : 11.89%
Manchester City Women
0-3 @ 7.21% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 42.44% (+0.09)
Total : 78.77%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Dec 14, 2025 12.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Khadija Shaw 37' goal
  • Khadija Shaw 45'+2' goal
  • Rebecca Knaak 56' yellowcard
  • Aoba Fujino 62' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 73' goal
  • Khadija Shaw 84' goal
  • Khadija Shaw 90'+4' goal
  • goal Lucy Parker 70'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 25, 2025 12.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Chasity Grant 6' goal
  • Laia Aleixandri 46' goal
  • Jordan Nobbs 48' yellowcard
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 28'
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 35'
  • goal Mary Fowler 54'
  • goal Jessica Park 62'
Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 12.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 62' goal
  • Jill Roord 70' goal
  • goal Gabriela Nunes da Silva 20'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
  • Rachel Daly 68' goal
  • Lucy Parker 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mary Fowler 21'
  • goal Lauren Hemp 77'
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 9, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 61' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 65' goal
  • goal Danielle Turner 7'
  • yellowcard Rachel Corsie 30'
  • yellowcard Sarah Mayling 75'
Women's FA Cup
Mar 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • Rachel Corsie 20' goal
  • Rachel Daly 97' goal
  • goal Deyna Castellanos 38'