Women's Super League Gameweek 15
Feb 8, 2026 12.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Arsenal 0 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Olivia Smith

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
Man City 0 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Manchester City Women has a probability of 36.73% and a draw has a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win is 1-2 (9.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.77%).

Result

Arsenal Women 39.18% (+0.16)
Draw 24.08% (-0.09)
Manchester City Women 36.73% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.76% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 18.24% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.24% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 39.71% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.67% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 63.33% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 22.17% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.83% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Women 37.03% (+0.14)
Draw 31.52% (-0.17)
Manchester City Women 31.46% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Arsenal Women 54.63% (+0.18)
No Goal 5.06% (-0.03)
Manchester City Women 40.31% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 55.91% (+0.27)
Equal 8 10.43% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.66% (-0.30)
Over 9 45.4% (+0.25)
Equal 9 10.51% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.09% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 35.58% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 64.42% (-0.21)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 1.5 43.81% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 56.19% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.94% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 79.06% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 7.94% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.06% (-0.04)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 71.8% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.2% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 43.01% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.99% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.56% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.44% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.2% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 39.18%
Draw 24.09%
Manchester City Women 36.73%
Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.31%
1-0 @ 7.12% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.65% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.31% (+0.05)
Total : 39.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.63% (-0.02)
Total : 24.09%
Manchester City Women
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.57% (+0.04)
Total : 36.73%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Oct 4, 2025 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Feb 2, 2025 12.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Academy Stadium
  • Mary Fowler 20' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 50' goal
  • Mary Fowler 55' goal
  • Kerstin Casparij 79' yellowcard
  • goal Mariona Caldentey 1'
  • goal Lotte Wubben-Moy 8'
  • goal Frida Maanum 51'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 78'
Women's Super League Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Park
  • Jonas Eidevall 0' yellowcard
  • Frida Maanum 8' goal
  • Beth Mead 81' goal
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 42'
  • goal Jessica Park 58'
  • yellowcard Kerstin Casparij 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 81'
  • yellowcard Jessica Park 85'
  • yellowcard Lauren Hemp 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Khadija Shaw 90'+3'
Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 5, 2024 2.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 17' goal
  • Laura Coombs 36' yellowcard
  • Leila Ouahabi 74' yellowcard
  • Lauren Hemp 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cloe Lacasse 51'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 89'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Colney Training Centre
  • Lia Walti 6' yellowcard
  • Cloe Lacasse 7' yellowcard
  • Steph Catley 14' goal
  • Victoria Pelova 34' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 53' yellowcard
  • Stina Blackstenius 87' goal
  • Katie McCabe 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lauren Hemp 13'
  • yellowcard Khiara Keating 18'
  • yellowcard Leila Ouahabi 35'
  • goal Chloe Kelly 72'
Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Frida Maanum 62' goal
  • Katie McCabe 74' goal
  • goal Khadija Shaw 5'