Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 12.00pm
Chelsea 4 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sandy Baltimore

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 12.30pm
Arsenal 0 - 0 Man Utd
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Olivia Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Arsenal Women has a probability of 28.51% and a draw has a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.17%) and 3-1 (5.66%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win is 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.31%).

Result

Chelsea Women 50.1% (+0.03)
Draw 21.34% (-0.02)
Arsenal Women 28.51% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 14.69% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 66.81%
Under 2.5 33.19%
Over 3.5 43.54% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 56.46% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 28.85% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 71.15% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 38.73% (+0.04)
Draw 31.65% (-0.04)
Arsenal Women 29.63%

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 55.23% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.66%
Arsenal Women 41.11% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.5% (+0.03)
Equal 8 9.26%
Under 8 36.25% (-0.01)
Over 9 45.09% (+0.02)
Equal 9 9.4%
Under 9 45.5% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.22%
Under 10.5 63.78%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 54.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.96% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 31.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 68.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.84% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.16% (-0.02)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 35.06% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.73% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 62.27% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.65% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.35% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.32% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.68% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 50.11%
Draw 21.36%
Arsenal Women 28.52%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 5.35% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.67% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.34% (+0.01)
Total : 50.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.36%
Arsenal Women
1-2 @ 7.7% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.82% (-0.03)
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Nov 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 26, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Guro Reiten 84' goal
  • Erin Cuthbert 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 83'
  • redcard Katie McCabe 83'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 12, 2024 1.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Meadow Park
  • Leah Williamson 33' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 43' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 52' yellowcard
  • goal Mayra Ramirez 4'
  • goal Sandy Baltimore 16'
  • yellowcard Sandy Baltimore 88'
  • yellowcard Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Nathalie Bjorn 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 15, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Lauren James 15' goal
  • Sjoeke Nusken 21' goal
  • Sjoeke Nusken 32' goal
  • Hannah Hampton 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 42'
  • yellowcard Cloe Lacasse 67'
  • goal Catarina Macario 86' (OG)
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 10, 2023 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Beth Mead 8' goal
  • Amanda Ilestedt 36' goal
  • Alessia Russo 38' goal
  • Katie McCabe 54' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 56' yellowcard
  • Alessia Russo 74' goal
  • Noelle Maritz 82' yellowcard
  • Frida Maanum 84' yellowcard
  • Victoria Pelova 87' yellowcard
  • goal Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 13'
  • yellowcard Lauren James 70'
Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Guro Reiten 22' goal
  • Magdalena Ericsson 41' goal