Women's Champions League
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Valentina Bergamaschi 13' goal
  • Wieke Kaptein 26' goal
  • Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 44' goal
  • Sjoeke Nusken 51' goal
  • Maika Hamano 76' goal
  • Lucy Bronze 86' goal

Chelsea Women vs Roma Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Nov 20, 2025 8.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Barcelona

Roma Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Nov 20, 2025 8.00pm
OH Leuven W 1 - 1 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 59.2%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 20.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (5.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea Women 59.2%
Draw 20.09%
Roma Women 20.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.06%

Goals

Over 2.5 66.65%
Under 2.5 33.34%
Over 3.5 44.88%
Under 3.5 55.12%
Over 4.5 26.19%
Under 4.5 73.8%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 88.88%
Under 0.5 11.11%
Over 1.5 64.47%
Under 1.5 35.53%

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5 70.94%
Under 0.5 29.06%
Over 1.5 35.03%
Under 1.5 64.97%

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 59.2%
Draw 20.09%
Roma Women 20.71%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.79%
1-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 7.05%
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-2 @ 4.36%
4-1 @ 3.88%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.7%
5-0 @ 1.38%
5-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 59.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.09%
Roma Women
1-2 @ 5.42%
0-1 @ 3.99%
0-2 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 20.71%