Women's FA Cup
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women vs Aston Villa Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions

Aston Villa Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw has a probability of 15.4% and a win for Aston Villa Women has a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.73%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.18%) , while for a Aston Villa Women win it is 0-1 (3.38%).

Result

Arsenal Women 73.22% (+0.08)
Draw 15.4% (-0.02)
Aston Villa Women 11.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.84% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 15.16% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 65.66% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 34.34% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 43.4% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 56.6% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 31.43% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 68.57% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Women 60.58% (-0.06)
Draw 27.59% (+0.06)
Aston Villa Women 11.84%

Team To Score First

Arsenal Women 72.77% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.49% (+0.02)
Aston Villa Women 23.74% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.26% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 29.25% (-0.04)
Over 9 49.36% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.9% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.74% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 38.91% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 61.09% (-0.03)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 1.5 70.68% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 29.32% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.97% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.03% (-0.04)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 43.83% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 56.17% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 16.29% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 83.71% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.21% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.79% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.14% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.86% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 73.22%
Draw 15.41%
Aston Villa Women 11.39%
Arsenal Women
2-0 @ 10.57% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.9% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 24.92% (+0.06)
Total : 73.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.18% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 15.41%
Aston Villa Women
0-1 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Total : 11.39%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Sep 27, 2025 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Jordan Nobbs 30' goal
  • Kirsty Hanson 45'+1' goal
  • Chasity Grant 46' goal
  • Rachel Daly 59' goal
  • Chasity Grant 73' goal
  • Sabrina D’Angelo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 68'
  • goal Alessia Russo 71'
  • yellowcard Steph Catley 85'
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Park
  • Alessia Russo 17' goal
  • Beth Mead 39' goal
  • Stina Blackstenius 71' goal
  • Katie McCabe 89' yellowcard
  • Alessia Russo 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Anna Patten 18'
Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 24, 2024 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ebony Salmon 35' goal
  • Rachel Daly 87' yellowcard
  • goal Victoria Pelova 54'
  • goal Lotte Wubben-Moy 84'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 86'
  • yellowcard Kyra Cooney-Cross 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Oct 15, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Katie McCabe 90'+2' goal
  • Alessia Russo 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mayumi Pacheco 25'
  • yellowcard Mayumi Pacheco 43'
  • yellowcard Lucy Parker 86'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Rachel Daly 45'+2'
  • goal Alisha Lehmann 49'