Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women vs Leicester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Chelsea 0 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Olivia Smith

Leicester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 11.55am
Leicester 1 - 2 West Ham
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Shannon O'Brien

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 89.43%. A draw had a probability of 7.94% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 2.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.83%) , while for a Leicester City Women win it was 0-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal Women 89.43% (+3.21)
Draw 7.94% (-1.88)
Leicester City Women 2.65% (-1.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.86% (-4.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.75% (+2.38)
Under 1.5 14.25% (-2.38)
Over 2.5 67.77% (+4.45)
Under 2.5 32.23% (-4.46)
Over 3.5 45.31% (+4.29)
Under 3.5 54.64% (-4.33)
Over 4.5 39.29% (+6.23)
Under 4.5 60.71% (-6.23)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Women 71.63% (+3.45)
Draw 22.01% (-2.25)
Leicester City Women 6.36% (-1.19)

Team To Score First

Arsenal Women 84.42% (+2.47)
No Goal 3.25% (-0.36)
Leicester City Women 12.33% (-2.11)

Corners

Over 8 54.3% (+3.42)
Equal 8 11.28% (+0.17)
Under 8 34.42% (-3.59)
Over 9 43.11% (+2.98)
Equal 9 11.19% (+0.44)
Under 9 45.7% (-3.42)
Over 10.5 32.87% (+2.36)
Under 10.5 67.13% (-2.36)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 1.5 80.57% (+3.81)
Under 1.5 19.43% (-3.81)
Over 2.5 59.62% (+6.19)
Under 2.5 40.38% (-6.19)
Over 3.5 38.09% (+7.03)
Under 3.5 61.91% (-7.03)

Leicester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 20.11% (-5.93)
Under 0.5 79.89% (+5.93)
Over 1.5 3.42% (-1.93)
Under 1.5 96.58% (+1.93)
Over 2.5 0.15% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 99.85% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 89.43%
Draw 7.97%
Leicester City Women 2.68%
Arsenal Women
3-0 @ 15.16% (+1.32)
2-0 @ 13.72% (-0.82)
1-0 @ 9.76% (-1.24)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.96)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-1.35)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.79)
Other @ 38.08% (+7.02)
Total : 89.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.83% (-0.92)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.36)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 7.97%
Leicester City Women
0-1 @ 1.32% (-0.78)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 2.68%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Nov 2, 2025 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 19
Apr 15, 2025 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Caitlin Foord 9' goal
  • Stina Blackstenius 16' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 31' goal
  • Frida Maanum 36' yellowcard
  • Beth Mead 62' goal
  • Victoria Pelova 69' goal
  • goal Yuka Momiki 66'
  • yellowcard Missy Goodwin 68'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • goal Frida Maanum 55'
  • yellowcard Laia Codina 90'+4'
Women's Super League Gameweek 19
Apr 21, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Park
  • Beth Mead 28' goal
  • Victoria Pelova 30' yellowcard
  • Kim Little 50' yellowcard
  • Alessia Russo 75' goal
  • Beth Mead 78' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Nov 12, 2023 6.45pm
2
6
HT : 2 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Sam Tierney 36' goal
  • Janice Cayman 38' goal
  • Janice Cayman 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Sam Tierney 61' yellowcard
  • goal Cloe Lacasse 49'
  • yellowcard Cloe Lacasse 45'+6'
  • goal Alessia Russo 52'
  • goal Caitlin Foord 58'
  • goal Victoria Pelova 61'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 75'
  • goal Lina Hurtig 90'+8'
Women's Super League Gameweek 20
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Frida Maanum 64' goal