Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.