Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City Women vs Chelsea Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 11.55am
London City Lionesses W 0 - 0 Man City
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Chelsea 0 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sandy Baltimore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Manchester City Women has a probability of 31.5% and a draw has a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win is 2-1 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.05%).

Result

Manchester City Women 31.5% (+0.13)
Draw 20.89% (+0.02)
Chelsea Women 47.66% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.42% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.74% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 16.26% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 63.16% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 36.84% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 42.17% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 57.83% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 26.8% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 73.2% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Manchester City Women 31.24% (-0.11)
Draw 31.28% (+0.23)
Chelsea Women 37.49% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Manchester City Women 46.27%
No Goal 3.62%
Chelsea Women 50.11%

Corners

Over 8 70.45% (+0.14)
Equal 8 8.73%
Under 8 20.82% (-0.13)
Over 9 60.63% (+0.13)
Equal 9 9.82% (+0.01)
Under 9 29.55% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 50.39% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 49.61% (-0.11)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 1.5 38.55% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 61.45% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 16.78% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 83.22% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.33% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.67% (-0.04)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 78.53% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.47% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.99% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 26.12% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.88% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.33% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 88.67% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Manchester City Women 31.51%
Draw 20.91%
Chelsea Women 47.66%
Manchester City Women
2-1 @ 6.38% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 6.08% (+0.05)
Total : 31.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 3.62%
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.91%
Chelsea Women
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.24% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.08% (-0.06)
Total : 47.66%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Sep 5, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Champions League
Mar 27, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Sandy Baltimore 14' goal
  • Nathalie Bjorn 38' goal
  • Mayra Ramirez 43' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 55' yellowcard
  • Keira Walsh 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laia Aleixandri 46'
Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kerolin 32' goal
  • yellowcard Oriane Jean-Francois 33'
  • yellowcard Millie Bright 41'
  • goal Aggie Beever-Jones 49'
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'
Women's Champions League
Mar 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moi Stadium
  • Vivianne Miedema 60' goal
  • Kerolin 77' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 88' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nathalie Bjorn 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mayra Ramirez 75' goal
  • Guro Reiten 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 47'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2024 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Erin Cuthbert 52' yellowcard
  • Lauren James 84' yellowcard
  • goal Khadija Shaw 14'
  • yellowcard Chloe Kelly 54'