Women's Super League Gameweek 18
Mar 21, 2026 12.00pm
The Den

London City Lionesses W vs Chelsea Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

London City Lionesses W

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 11.55am
London City Lionesses W 0 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Freya Godfrey

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 12.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 0 Liverpool
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alyssa Thompson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw has a probability of 18.72% and a win for London City Lionesses W has a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.38%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.16%) , while for a London City Lionesses W win it is 2-1 (4.18%).

Result

London City Lionesses W 16.58% (+0.79)
Draw 18.72% (+0.49)
Chelsea Women 64.7% (-1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.71% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 16.29% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 64% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 36% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 42.6% (-0.73)
Under 3.5 57.4% (+0.73)
Over 4.5 29.15% (-0.75)
Under 4.5 70.85% (+0.74)

First Half Winner

London City Lionesses W 20.65% (+1.27)
Draw 36.75% (+0.48)
Chelsea Women 42.59% (-1.76)

Team To Score First

London City Lionesses W 32.16% (+2.54)
No Goal 4.07% (+0.25)
Chelsea Women 63.77% (-2.78)

Corners

Over 8 70.02% (+0.85)
Equal 8 8.56% (-0.06)
Under 8 21.41% (-0.81)
Over 9 60.42% (+0.86)
Equal 9 9.6% (-0.01)
Under 9 29.98% (-0.85)
Over 10.5 50.42% (+0.82)
Under 10.5 49.58% (-0.82)

London City Lionesses W Goals

Over 1.5 23.14% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 76.86% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 8.07% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.42% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.58% (-0.10)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 87.1% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 12.9% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 64.53% (-1.63)
Under 1.5 35.47% (+1.63)
Over 2.5 39% (-1.62)
Under 2.5 61% (+1.62)
Over 3.5 20.03% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 79.97% (+0.97)

Score analysis

London City Lionesses W 16.58%
Draw 18.74%
Chelsea Women 64.7%
London City Lionesses W
2-1 @ 4.18% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 3.78% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 2.16% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.16% (+0.23)
Total : 16.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.16% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.07% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.13)
Total : 18.74%
Chelsea Women
1-2 @ 9.47% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 9.38% (-0.28)
0-1 @ 8.46% (+0.29)
0-3 @ 7% (-0.50)
1-3 @ 6.79% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.83% (+0.07)
Other @ 19.77% (-0.84)
Total : 64.7%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Nov 2, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT