Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.