Women's FA Cup
Feb 22, 2026 1.30pm
2
1
ET Wheatsheaf Park
  • Samantha Kerr 78' goal
  • Naomi Girma 99' goal
  • goal S. Awujo 81'

Chelsea Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions

Manchester United Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea Women 57.48% (-0.57)
Draw 21.06% (+0.09)
Manchester United Women 21.47% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.21% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 18.79% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 60.06% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 39.94% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 37.17% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 62.83% (-0.92)
Over 4.5 24.62% (+0.70)
Under 4.5 75.38% (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 39.92%
Draw 36.59%
Manchester United Women 23.49%

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 58.72% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.73% (-0.13)
Manchester United Women 36.55% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60.82% (+0.18)
Equal 8 10.37%
Under 8 28.82% (-0.17)
Over 9 49.99% (+0.17)
Equal 9 10.82% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.19% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 39.56% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 60.44% (-0.15)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 57.02% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 42.98% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 32.13% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 67.87% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 15.43% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 84.57% (-0.19)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 55.31% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 44.69% (-0.75)
Over 1.5 27.5% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 72.5% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 9.38% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 90.62% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 57.48%
Draw 21.06%
Manchester United Women 21.47%
Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.48% (+0.17)
Other @ 14.94% (+0.17)
Total : 57.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.49% (+0.02)
Total : 21.06%
Manchester United Women
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.58% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.49% (+0.19)
Total : 21.47%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Oct 3, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's FA Cup
May 18, 2025 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Sandy Baltimore 45' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 45' goal
  • Catarina Macario 84' goal
  • Catarina Macario 84' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 90' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 90' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Melvine Malard 48' yellowcard
  • goal Lucy Bronze 74'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Nov 24, 2024 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Guro Reiten 17' goal
  • Erin Cuthbert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phallon Tullis-Joyce 16'
  • yellowcard Wouter Deman 30'
  • yellowcard Grace Clinton 40'
  • yellowcard Dominique Bloodworth 74'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT Old Trafford
  • Lucia Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • goal Mayra Ramirez 2'
  • goal Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 8'
  • goal Sjoeke Nusken 44'
  • goal Mayra Ramirez 45'+2'
  • goal Melanie Leupolz 47'
  • goal Fran Kirby 85'
Women's FA Cup
Apr 14, 2024 2.35pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Lucia Garcia 1' goal
  • Wouter Deman 23' goal
  • Millie Turner 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucia Garcia 68' yellowcard
  • Aoife Mannion 77' yellowcard
  • Nikita Parris 78' yellowcard
  • Mary Earps 79' yellowcard
  • goal Lauren James 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Lauren James 45'+5'