Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.