Women's Champions League
Apr 1, 2026 8.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm
Arsenal 3 - 1 Chelsea

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm
Arsenal 3 - 1 Chelsea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for Arsenal Women has a probability of 27.45% and a draw has a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win is 1-2 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.02%).

Result

Chelsea Women 49.88% (+1.17)
Draw 22.67% (-0.40)
Arsenal Women 27.45% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.9% (+1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.64% (+1.16)
Under 1.5 18.36% (-1.17)
Over 2.5 60.73% (+1.83)
Under 2.5 39.27% (-1.83)
Over 3.5 38.44% (+2.04)
Under 3.5 61.53% (-2.07)
Over 4.5 24.27% (+1.67)
Under 4.5 75.73% (-1.68)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 35.67% (+0.25)
Draw 36.93% (-0.32)
Arsenal Women 27.4% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 52.26% (-0.18)
No Goal 4.73% (-0.37)
Arsenal Women 43.01% (+0.54)

Corners

Over 8 57.13% (-1.03)
Equal 8 10.48% (-0.16)
Under 8 32.39% (+1.18)
Over 9 46.48% (-0.82)
Equal 9 10.65% (-0.22)
Under 9 42.87% (+1.03)
Over 10.5 36.46% (-0.57)
Under 10.5 63.54% (+0.57)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 52.2% (+1.93)
Under 1.5 47.8% (-1.93)
Over 2.5 27.51% (+1.84)
Under 2.5 72.49% (-1.83)
Over 3.5 12% (+1.17)
Under 3.5 88% (-1.16)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 63.66% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 36.34% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 33.47% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 66.53% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 13.37% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 86.63% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 4.85% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 95.15% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 49.88%
Draw 22.67%
Arsenal Women 27.44%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.39)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 4.73% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.19)
Other @ 11.65% (+1.12)
Total : 49.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.93% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.37)
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.35% (+0.05)
Total : 22.67%
Arsenal Women
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.43)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.5% (+0.10)
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Emma Stina Blackstenius 22' goal
  • Chloe Maggie Kelly 32' goal
  • Taylor Hinds 46' yellowcard
  • Olivia Smith 60' yellowcard
  • Alessia Mia Teresa Russo 76' goal
  • Frida Leonhardsen Maanum 78' yellowcard
  • Smilla Hilma Holmberg 78' yellowcard
  • Victoria Pelova 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anna Johanna Rytting Kaneryd 57'
  • goal Lauren Elizabeth James 66'
  • yellowcard Wieke Hendrikje Maria Kaptein 83'
Women's Super League
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Keira Fae Walsh 56' yellowcard
  • Lauren Elizabeth James 57' yellowcard
  • Anna Johanna Rytting Kaneryd 66' yellowcard
  • Agnes Beever-Jones 66' yellowcard
  • Sjoeke Nüsken 77' yellowcard
  • goal Bethany Jane Mead 55'
  • goal María Francesca Caldentey Oliver 61'
  • yellowcard Victoria Pelova 69'
  • yellowcard Smilla Hilma Holmberg 79'
  • yellowcard Laia Codina Panedas 88'
  • yellowcard Taylor Hinds 88'
Women's Super League
Nov 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 26, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Guro Reiten 84' goal
  • Erin Cuthbert 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 83'
  • redcard Katie McCabe 83'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 12, 2024 1.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Meadow Park
  • Leah Williamson 33' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 43' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 52' yellowcard
  • goal Mayra Ramirez 4'
  • goal Sandy Baltimore 16'
  • yellowcard Sandy Baltimore 88'
  • yellowcard Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Nathalie Bjorn 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 15, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Lauren James 15' goal
  • Sjoeke Nusken 21' goal
  • Sjoeke Nusken 32' goal
  • Hannah Hampton 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 42'
  • yellowcard Cloe Lacasse 67'
  • goal Catarina Macario 86' (OG)