Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.13%) and 0-1 (5.45%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 2-1 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.