Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (6.54%) and 3-1 (6.26%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (5.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.