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Wolves logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Southampton logo

Wolves
3 - 1
Southampton

Jimenez (37' pen.), Coady (59'), Traore (90+1')
Podence (43'), Jimenez (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ward-Prowse (84')
Lyanco (58'), Ward-Prowse (86'), Salisu (87')

Preview: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams in impressive form will lock horns in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome Southampton to Molineux.

Wolves are currently eighth in the table, boasting 28 points from their 19 league matches this season, while Southampton occupy 11th spot, four points behind their opponents this weekend.


Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers' Joao Moutinho celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 3, 2022© Reuters

Wolves struggled for results in the early stages of the season but have been quietly picking up points for some time now, with Bruno Lage's side currently eighth in the table, just three points behind seventh-placed Manchester United, so they could also be considered to be in the top-four race.

The 2017-18 Championship winners have picked up seven points from their last three league games, winning at Brighton & Hove Albion and Man United, in addition to sharing the points at home to Chelsea.

Wolves also progressed to the fourth round of the FA Cup on Sunday courtesy of a 3-0 success over Sheffield United, with Lage's side set to face Norwich City in the next round at the start of February.

The home side have won their last two Premier League matches against Southampton, including a 1-0 success at St Mary's earlier this season, with Raul Jimenez netting the only goal of the game.

Wolves finished a disappointing 13th in the Premier League last season, but Lage has made a big impression at the helm this season, and another victory on Saturday would boost their European hopes.

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl reacts on January 11, 2022© Reuters

Southampton, meanwhile, will enter the contest off the back of a 4-1 victory over Brentford on Tuesday evening, which moved them up into 11th position in the Premier League table.

The Saints have had their issues this season but are now 13 points clear of the relegation zone and only four points behind eighth-placed Wolves, so Saturday's contest is a huge fixture for both sides.

Ralph Hasenhuttl's side are actually unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions, drawing with Crystal Palace and Tottenham Hotspur in the league, in addition to beating West Ham and Brentford, while they were 3-2 winners over Swansea City in the FA Cup on January 8.

Southampton are entering a tough run of matches in the league, though, with their three after this one against Manchester City, Tottenham and Man United.

The Saints have found it difficult to show consistency on their travels this term, picking up just nine points from their 10 matches, but they did beat Wolves at Molineux in the FA Cup last season.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Wolverhampton Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Southampton Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Southampton form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Armando Broja celebrates scoring for Southampton against Burnley on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Wolves will be missing Yerson Mosquera, Pedro Neto, Jonny Castro and Hwang Hee-Chan this weekend through injury, while Willy Boly and Romain Saiss are in action at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Adama Traore continues to be linked with a move away from Molineux and is therefore unlikely to be considered for a start in the final third, with Daniel Podence and Trincao set to line up alongside Jimenez.

Ruben Neves and Joao Moutinho are both in impressive form in midfield, while Saiss's absence at the back could open the door for Leander Dendoncker to feature in a three-man defence.

As for Southampton, Valentino Livramento and William Smallbone will miss the contest through injury, while Kyle Walker-Peters remains a doubt due to COVID-19.

Moussa Djenepo is unavailable due to his involvement in the Africa Cup of Nations, while Alex McCarthy remains a doubt due to a thigh problem, but Armando Broja should overcome a head injury to start.

Che Adams scored off the bench against Brentford last time out and could now come in for a start in the final third, but Hasenhuttl is again expected to stick with a 3-5-2 formation.

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Sa; Dendoncker, Coady, Kilman; Semedo, Neves, Moutinho, Marcal; Podence, Jimenez, Trincao

Southampton possible starting lineup:
Forster; Bednarek, Lyanco, Salisu; Tella, Diallo, Romeu, Ward-Prowse, Perraud; Adams, Broja


SM words green background

We say: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Southampton

This is a very difficult match to call, as both sides will enter the contest in good confidence. Wolves will fancy their chances of triumphing on home soil, but Southampton were excellent against Brentford last time out, and we are backing the two sides to share the spoils at Molineux.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:475191:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11300:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Wolves vs Southampton

Wolverhampton Wanderers
57.6%
Draw
27.8%
Southampton
14.6%
158
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Wolverhampton Wanderers' manager Bruno Lage after the match on September 11, 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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