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Wolves logo
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2021 at 12pm UK
Molineux
Burnley logo

Wolves
0 - 4
Burnley

Wood (15', 21', 44'), Westwood (85')
Tarkowski (39'), Traore (39'), Lowton (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Preview: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wolverhampton Wanderers take on Burnley in the Premier League on Sunday, with the visitors looking to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone.

Wolves, meanwhile, will be aiming to extend their winning run to three matches.


Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Nuno Espirito Santo pictured on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Having finished seventh in each of their two seasons back in the Premier League since gaining promotion from the Championship in 2018, this campaign has undoubtedly been a more disappointing one for Nuno Espirito Santo's side.

While a relegation battle has never looked remotely on the cards, Wolves have languished in the bottom half of the table for the majority of the season having particularly struggled to cope with Raul Jimenez's long-term head injury, which was sustained in a collision with David Luiz against Arsenal in late November.

However, after enduring a winless run of five matches, the Black Country outfit have bounced back by winning successive matches 1-0 against Fulham and Sheffield United.

Perhaps most positively, Adama Traore has rediscovered his blistering form of last season in recent weeks, scoring an excellent injury-time winner against Fulham before displaying his trademark burst of pace down the right flank, cutting the ball back for Willian Jose to score his first goal for the club since moving from Real Sociedad on loan in January.

Nuno is unlikely to be getting carried away about winning-to-nil against two of the three sides occupying the relegation places, especially given that Fulham and Sheff Utd have scored the fewest goals in the division so far this season.

However, the 47-year-old will also be aware that Burnley are third-bottom in that regard, so having reverted to his favoured back-five system, there is every chance that Nuno's side can keep a third successive clean sheet along the way to gaining a third consecutive victory on Sunday.

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured on March 6, 2021© Reuters

Burnley, meanwhile, have slipped down to 17th in the table after suffering three successive defeats.

Uncharacteristically for Sean Dyche's side, it is the defensive end of the pitch which has been the issue in recent weeks, having scored at least once in each of their last six matches, but simultaneously failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last seven games.

The Clarets came close to securing an invaluable point against Manchester United at Old Trafford last weekend, though, with James Tarkowski's header cancelling out Mason Greenwood's opener after the break.

However, as the Red Devils' pressure mounted, Greenwood's 84th-minute deflected effort left Bailey Peacock-Farrell - deputising for the injured Nick Pope between the sticks for Burnley - no chance, with Edinson Cavani finishing off a fine team move in injury time to wrap up a 3-1 win for his side.

Dyche will be demanding a stronger defensive performance from his side on Sunday against a Wolves outfit who are struggling for creativity but equally do not give much away at the other end.

Indeed, this fixture represents Burnley's game in hand on 18th-placed Fulham, who are six points behind the Clarets, so it is a perfect opportunity to all but seal survival for a fifth successive campaign.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Burnley Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Pedro Neto celebrates scoring for Wolverhampton Wanderers against Chelsea in the Premier League on December 15, 2020© Reuters

Wolves will be without Pedro Neto, who suffered significant damage to his knee cap in the win against Fulham and has subsequently undergone successful surgery.

The Portugal winger joins his compatriot Jonny, who also recently underwent surgery after an ACL injury, on the sidelines until next season.

Ruben Neves is also unavailable once more having tested positive for COVID-19, while Fernando Marcal and Jimenez will almost certainly not be included in the squad due to groin and head injuries respectively.

As such, Nuno is unlikely to make any changes to the XI which dispatched Sheff Utd.

Burnley, meanwhile, hope to have Pope fit to return in goal, with the England shot stopper set to win the race to overcome his recent shoulder injury.

Kevin Long remains a doubt with a calf injury, though, while Ashley Barnes and Robbie Brady have been ruled out for at least another week with muscle issues.

After switching to a 4-5-1 system against Man Utd, Dyche could restore Matej Vydra in attack alongside Chris Wood and revert to his favoured 4-4-2 formation, with Jack Cork potentially making way.

Indeed, the Czech Republic forward could consider himself unfortunate to have been benched after scoring three goals in his previous five starts.

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Patricio; Saiss, Coady, Boly; Semedo, Dendoncker, Moutinho, Ait-Nouri; Traore, Jose, Podence

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Brownhill, Westwood, McNeil; Wood, Vydra


SM words green background

We say: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Burnley

It is tough to envisage many goals in this game, with both sides generally focused on retaining their defensive shape first and foremost.

Burnley are unbeaten in their last four matches against Wolves, though, so we can envisage them gaining a positive result to end their losing streak and put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Wolves vs Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers
57.7%
Draw
28.5%
Burnley
13.8%
123
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


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