Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Cardiff MU - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 0 - 0 Airbus UK
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Callum West

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Flint Town 1 - 1 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Jasper Payne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw has a probability of 23.91% and a win for Cardiff MU has a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.21%) , while for a Cardiff MU win it is 0-1 (6.29%).

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 53.27%
Draw 23.91%
Cardiff MU 22.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.72%
Under 1.5 23.28%
Over 2.5 53.18%
Under 2.5 46.82%
Over 3.5 31.03%
Under 3.5 68.97%
Over 4.5 18.32%
Under 4.5 81.68%

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 39.43%
Draw 40.72%
Cardiff MU 19.85%

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 59.48%
No Goal 6.6%
Cardiff MU 33.92%

Corners

Over 8 50.86%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 37.67%
Over 9 39.78%
Equal 9 11.08%
Under 9 49.14%
Over 10.5 29.9%
Under 10.5 70.1%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 50.82%
Under 1.5 49.18%
Over 2.5 24.53%
Under 2.5 75.47%
Over 3.5 9.86%
Under 3.5 90.14%

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 59.13%
Under 0.5 40.87%
Over 1.5 26.04%
Under 1.5 73.96%
Over 2.5 8.61%
Under 2.5 91.39%
Over 3.5 2.43%
Under 3.5 97.57%

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 53.25%
Draw 23.9%
Cardiff MU 22.83%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 10.17%
2-0 @ 9.17%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 9.75%
Total : 53.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 5.1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.9%
Cardiff MU
0-1 @ 6.29%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.83%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Ben Nash 25' yellowcard
  • Ben Maher 53' goal
  • Ben Maher 87' yellowcard
  • goal 32'
  • yellowcard Jac Clay 32'
  • redcard Jac Clay 47'
  • yellowcard Matt Clubb 52'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Eliot Evans 10' goal
  • Sam Jones 47' yellowcard
  • Eliot Evans 54' goal
  • goal Elliott Dugan 23'
  • yellowcard Elliott Dugan 47'
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 67'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Kyle McCarthy 49' yellowcard
  • Joe Evans 77' yellowcard
  • Dixon Kabongo 80' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Williams 31'
  • goal Jordan Davies 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Josh Williams 83'
  • goal Michael Wilde 86'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Feb 24, 2024 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Ben Nash 33' goal
  • Tom Price 48' goal
  • Jack Kenny 68' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McCarthy 57'
  • goal Lewis Rees 74'
  • yellowcard Joe Evans 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Craven 84'