Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Callum West 2' goal
  • Iwan Murray 36' goal
  • Alex Hughes 60' yellowcard
  • Dan Cowan 84' yellowcard
  • Iwan Murray 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Eason 52'
  • yellowcard Cam Strinati 57'
  • yellowcard Jack Karadogan 90'+5'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Cambrian & Clydach - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Ammanford 0 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Hussein Mehasseb

Cambrian & Clydach

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Haverfordwest 0 - 3 Cambrian & Clydach
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Liam Eason

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cambrian & Clydach had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Cambrian & Clydach win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 43.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Cambrian & Clydach 32.7% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.16% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 19.81% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 58.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 41.09% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 37.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.73%
Under 4.5 77.27%

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 34.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 40.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Cambrian & Clydach 25.52% ▲ (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 52.21% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 5.4%
Cambrian & Clydach 42.39% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 53.05% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 35.84% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 9 42.12% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 46.95% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 10.5 32.19% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 67.81% ▼ (-0.13)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 45.82% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 54.18% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 22.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 77.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 8.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Cambrian & Clydach Goals

Over 0.5 68.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 43.35%
Draw 23.95%
Cambrian & Clydach 32.7%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 43.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.95%
Cambrian & Clydach
1-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 32.7%