Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Max Woodcock 73' goal
  • yellowcard Greg Walters 39'
  • goal Jack Walker 50'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Kyle Kenniford 80'
  • yellowcard Lewis Rees 85'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Haverfordwest County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 2.30pm
Flint Town 1 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Hussein Mehasseb

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 2.30pm
Haverfordwest 2 - 1 Trefelin
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Dan Hawkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.28% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 64.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 20.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Haverfordwest County 15.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.1% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.07% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 22.93% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 53.69% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 46.31% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 30.57% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 69.43% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 4.5 19.65% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 80.35% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 47.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 38.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Haverfordwest County 14.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 67.67% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Haverfordwest County 26.2% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 31.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 44.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 43.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 33.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 10.5 66.04% ▼ (-0.09)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 58.31% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 41.69% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 30.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 69.25% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.10)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 48.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 51.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 17.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 82.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 4.69% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 95.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.96% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 64.48%
Draw 20.29%
Haverfordwest County 15.22%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 11.89% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 14.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 64.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.29%
Haverfordwest County
0-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 15.22%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium
  • Lee Jenkins 12' yellowcard
  • Corey Shepherd 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 41'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 53'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 82'
  • yellowcard Elliott Dugan 82'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT University Stadium
  • goal Ben Ahmun 54'
  • yellowcard Iori Humphreys 73'
  • yellowcard Greg Walters 79'
  • yellowcard Rio Dyer 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 21' yellowcard
  • Ryan Harrington 30' goal
  • Callum Morris 86' yellowcard
  • Michael Wilde 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Tabone 23'
  • goal Ben Fawcett 32'
  • yellowcard Luke Tabone 40'
  • yellowcard Martell Taylor-Crossdale 75'
  • yellowcard Ricky Watts 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium
  • Ricky Watts 52' yellowcard
  • Martell Taylor-Crossdale 63' redcard
  • Jack Wilson 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ben Nash 42'
  • goal Harry Franklin 80'
  • yellowcard Harry Franklin 89'
  • goal Ryan Stratulis 90'