Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Haverfordwest County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 2.30pm
Flint Town 1 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Hussein Mehasseb

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 2.30pm
Haverfordwest 2 - 1 Trefelin
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Dan Hawkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw has a probability of 20.28% and a win for Haverfordwest County has a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Haverfordwest County win it is 0-1 (4.9%).

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 64.48% (+0.13)
Draw 20.28% (-0.06)
Haverfordwest County 15.24% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.1% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.07% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 22.93% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 53.69% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 46.31% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 30.57% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 69.43% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 19.65% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 80.35% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 47.3% (-0.03)
Draw 38.54% (+0.04)
Haverfordwest County 14.16% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 67.67% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.09)
Haverfordwest County 26.2% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.43% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 31.99% (-0.09)
Over 9 44.76% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 43.57% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 33.95% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 66.04% (-0.09)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 58.31% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 41.69% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 30.75% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 69.25% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 14.13% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 85.87% (-0.10)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 48.69% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 51.31% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 17.63% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 82.37% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 4.69% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 95.31% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.04% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.96% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 64.48%
Draw 20.29%
Haverfordwest County 15.22%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.68% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 5.81% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.05)
Other @ 14.12% (+0.10)
Total : 64.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.97% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.29%
Haverfordwest County
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Total : 15.22%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium
  • Lee Jenkins 12' yellowcard
  • Corey Shepherd 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 41'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 53'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 82'
  • yellowcard Elliott Dugan 82'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT University Stadium
  • goal Ben Ahmun 54'
  • yellowcard Iori Humphreys 73'
  • yellowcard Greg Walters 79'
  • yellowcard Rio Dyer 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 21' yellowcard
  • Ryan Harrington 30' goal
  • Callum Morris 86' yellowcard
  • Michael Wilde 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Tabone 23'
  • goal Ben Fawcett 32'
  • yellowcard Luke Tabone 40'
  • yellowcard Martell Taylor-Crossdale 75'
  • yellowcard Ricky Watts 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium
  • Ricky Watts 52' yellowcard
  • Martell Taylor-Crossdale 63' redcard
  • Jack Wilson 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ben Nash 42'
  • goal Harry Franklin 80'
  • yellowcard Harry Franklin 89'
  • goal Ryan Stratulis 90'