Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Airbus UK Broughton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Colwyn Bay 0 - 1 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Callum West

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Airbus UK 0 - 2 New Saints
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
George Peers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton has a probability of 27.85% and a draw has a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win is 1-2 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.94%).

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 50.01% ▲ (+3.45)
Draw 22.14% ▼ (-0.94)
Airbus UK Broughton 27.85% ▼ (-2.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.56% ▼ (-0.95)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.12% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 18.88% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 59.85% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 40.15% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 37.78% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 3.5 62.22% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 4.5 23.19% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 4.5 76.81% ▲ (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 40.79% ▲ (+1.01)
Draw 36.84% ▼ (-0.62)
Airbus UK Broughton 22.37% ▼ (-0.40)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 57.85% ▲ (+2.04)
No Goal 4.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Airbus UK Broughton 37.49% ▼ (-2.11)

Corners

Over 8 53.19% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 8 11.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 35.32% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 41.89% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 46.81% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 10.5 31.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 68.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 51.71% ▲ (+1.89)
Under 1.5 48.29% ▼ (-1.89)
Over 2.5 25.84% ▲ (+1.34)
Under 2.5 74.16% ▼ (-1.35)
Over 3.5 10.56% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 3.5 89.44% ▼ (-0.55)

Airbus UK Broughton Goals

Over 0.5 64.59% ▼ (-2.40)
Under 0.5 35.41% ▲ (+2.40)
Over 1.5 33.83% ▼ (-2.82)
Under 1.5 66.17% ▲ (+2.82)
Over 2.5 13.24% ▼ (-1.96)
Under 2.5 86.76% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 3.5 4.54% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 3.5 95.46% ▲ (+0.80)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 50.01%
Draw 22.16%
Airbus UK Broughton 27.85%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.50)
1-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.61)
2-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.71)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.38)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.42)
Other @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.68)
Total : 50.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.38)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 22.16%
Airbus UK Broughton
1-2 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.37)
0-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.38)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.28)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.34)
Other @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.67)
Total : 27.85%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Esenler Stadyumu
  • Kaiden Cooke 90' goal
  • goal Harry Franklin 10'
  • goal Michael Wilde 68'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Michael Wilde 47' goal
  • Callum Bratley 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Roberts 11'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Hollingsworth Group International Airfield (Broughton, Flintshire)
  • Joe Palmer 46' yellowcard
  • Steve Tomassen 54' yellowcard
  • Matthew Sargent 65' yellowcard
  • Kristian Platt 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Holmes 30'
  • goal Michael Wilde 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Wilde 60'
  • goal Jamie Insall 76'
  • goal Danny Holmes 84'
  • goal Priestley Farquharson 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2019 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Deeside College Stadium (Cei Conna / Connah's Quay, Flintshire)
  • Jamie Insall 14' goal
  • John Disney 45' goal
  • Declan Poole 54' yellowcard
  • Lewis Brass 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Strong 33'
  • yellowcard George Hughes 45'
  • goal Andy Owens 80'