Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Manor Road
  • Luc Owen 41' yellowcard
  • Luc Owen 43' yellowcard
  • Lucas Davies 64' redcard
  • yellowcard Chris Marriott 17'
  • yellowcard Chris Marriott 18'
  • goal Phil Mooney 20'
  • goal Phil Mooney 22'
  • yellowcard Osian Evans 34'
  • goal Sion Bradley 35'
  • goal Sion Bradley 37'
  • goal Sion Bradley 67'
  • goal Phil Mooney 90'
  • goal Harri Wyn 90'+1'

Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ammanford

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Llandudno 2 - 0 Ammanford
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Matthew Delaney

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Zack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.96% and a win for Ammanford had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%) , while for a Ammanford win it was 2-1 (5.11%).

Result

Ammanford 18.36% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 18.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Caernarfon Town 62.68% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 62.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 37.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 40.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 73.56% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Ammanford 20.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 37.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Caernarfon Town 41.5% ▼ (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Ammanford 32.52% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 4.44%
Caernarfon Town 63.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.32% ▲ (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 25.39% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 9 51.25% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 9 12.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 36.68% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 10.5 39.5% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 60.5% ▼ (-0.15)

Ammanford Goals

Over 1.5 23.97% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.4% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 92.6% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.67% ▼ (-0.07)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 85.5% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 14.5% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 61.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 38.51% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 36.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 63.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 17.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 82.47% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Ammanford 18.36%
Draw 18.97%
Caernarfon Town 62.68%
Ammanford
2-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 18.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.97%
Caernarfon Town
0-2 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 17.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 62.68%