Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Manor Road

Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ammanford

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Llandudno 2 - 0 Ammanford
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Matthew Delaney

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Zack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw has a probability of 18.96% and a win for Ammanford has a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.46%) , while for a Ammanford win it is 2-1 (5.11%).

Result

Ammanford 18.36% (+0.18)
Draw 18.96% (-0.03)
Caernarfon Town 62.68% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.52% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.24% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.76% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 62.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 37.98% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 40.2% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59.8% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.44% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 73.56% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Ammanford 20.69% (+0.09)
Draw 37.81% (+0.06)
Caernarfon Town 41.5% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Ammanford 32.52% (+0.05)
No Goal 4.44%
Caernarfon Town 63.04% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.32% (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 25.39% (-0.24)
Over 9 51.25% (+0.21)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.04)
Under 9 36.68% (-0.23)
Over 10.5 39.5% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 60.5% (-0.15)

Ammanford Goals

Over 1.5 23.97% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.03% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.4% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 92.6% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.33% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.67% (-0.07)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 85.5% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 14.5% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 61.49% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 38.51% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 36.26% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 63.74% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 17.53% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 82.47% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Ammanford 18.36%
Draw 18.97%
Caernarfon Town 62.68%
Ammanford
2-1 @ 5.11% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.47% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.6% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.58% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.32% (+0.07)
Total : 18.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.97%
Caernarfon Town
0-2 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 7.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 17.52% (-0.11)
Total : 62.68%