Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Ynys Park

Trefelin vs Ammanford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Trefelin 0 - 2 Caernarfon

Ammanford

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Ammanford 0 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Matthew Delaney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Trefelin win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Ammanford has a probability of 30.91% and a draw has a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trefelin win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Ammanford win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.7%).

Result

Trefelin 45.41% (+0.24)
Draw 23.64%
Ammanford 30.91% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.12% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.88% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 58.08%
Under 2.5 41.92%
Over 3.5 36.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.72% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.31% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.69% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Trefelin 37.62% (+0.19)
Draw 35.79% (-0.10)
Ammanford 26.59% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Trefelin 53.03%
No Goal 5.41% (+0.03)
Ammanford 41.56% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.17% (-0.49)
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 23.58% (+0.47)
Over 9 55.02% (-0.44)
Equal 9 11.16% (-0.04)
Under 9 33.83% (+0.49)
Over 10.5 43.86% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 56.14% (+0.37)

Trefelin Goals

Over 1.5 47.49% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 52.51% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 22.96% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 77.04% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 9.46% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 90.54% (-0.15)

Ammanford Goals

Over 0.5 66.69% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 33.31% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 35.62% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 64.38% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 14.34% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 85.66% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.42% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.58% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Trefelin 45.4%
Draw 23.63%
Ammanford 30.9%
Trefelin
2-1 @ 8.95% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.98% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.05% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.32% (+0.15)
Total : 45.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.41% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 23.63%
Ammanford
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.28% (-0.10)
Total : 30.9%