Europa League
Jul 16, 2026 9.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT AVIS völlurinn
  • goal Jaly Mouaddib 5'
  • goal Pedro Bicalho 29'
  • goal Zakaria Sawo 57'

Vestri vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vestri

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 3 - 0 Vestri

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 3 - 0 Vestri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.53%. A win for Vestri had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Vestri win was 2-1 (5.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Vestri 24.13% (-0.02)
Draw 17.34% (-0.02)
Qarabag FK 58.53% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.37% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.76% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 10.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 75.22% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 24.78% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 55.95%
Under 3.5 44.05%
Over 4.5 41.69% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 58.31% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vestri 16.81% (+0.01)
Draw 29.68% (+0.01)
Qarabag FK 53.51% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Vestri 30.76% (+0.03)
No Goal 2.37% (-0.01)
Qarabag FK 66.87% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.36% (+0.07)
Equal 8 9.96% (-0.07)
Under 8 26.68% (+0.02)
Over 9 52.76% (+0.13)
Equal 9 10.6% (-0.08)
Under 9 36.64% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 42.32% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 57.68% (-0.18)

Vestri Goals

Over 1.5 34.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.37%
Under 2.5 83.63%
Over 3.5 6.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.05% (-0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 84.3% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 15.7% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 65.37% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 34.63% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 43.16% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.84% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.66%
Under 3.5 74.34%

Score analysis

Vestri 24.13%
Draw 17.34%
Qarabag FK 58.55%
Vestri
2-1 @ 5.23%
1-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 6.29% (+0.01)
Total : 24.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.34%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 7.86% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.81%
0-3 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 25%
Total : 58.55%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
  • Zakaria Sawo 30' goal
  • Abdellah Zoubir 45'+2' goal
  • R. Cephas 86' goal
  • yellowcard S. Fall 2'