World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Monumental de Maturin

Venezuela
1 - 0
Peru

Rondon (41' pen., 41' pen., 41' pen.)
Gonzalez (45'), Gonzalez (45'), Gonzalez (45'), Martinez (47'), Martinez (47'), Martinez (47'), Herrera (77'), Herrera (77'), Herrera (77')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Zambrano (13'), Zambrano (13'), Zambrano (13'), Aquino (19'), Aquino (19'), Aquino (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.19%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Peru
60.11% ( -1.73)	25.15% ( 0.97)	14.74% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 36.8% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.45% (

-1.87)

62.55% (

1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.86% (

-1.38)

82.14% (

1.39)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-1.41)

20.94% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-2.26)

53.69% (

2.27)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.55% (

0.01)

53.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.07% (

0.01)

86.93% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Venezuela 60.11%

Peru 14.74%

Draw 25.15%

Venezuela	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 17.5% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 60.11%	0-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.76) 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.74%