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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Mestalla
Osauna logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Osasuna

Garcia (69' og.)
Wass (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calleri (42')
Vidal (45+1'), Cruz (71'), Sanchez (77')

Preview: Valencia vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia play host to Osasuna on Thursday evening looking to build on claiming four points from their last two La Liga fixtures.

Meanwhile, Osasuna make the trip to the Mestalla sitting in the relegation zone after failing to win any of their last 12 matches in Spain's top flight.


Match preview

Javi Gracia, now in charge of Valencia, pictured in August 2019© Reuters

Given the club's well-documented financial issues, Javi Gracia was never expected to have Valencia competing for a top-six spot during his first season in charge.

However, it has taken a 1-0 win over Real Valladolid to move Valencia away from the bottom three, at least in the short term with just three points separating Los Che and 18th-placed Elche.

The victory, which came courtesy of a late Carlos Soler goal, was recorded in between two triumphs in the Copa del Rey, and there is finally a feeling that his side is heading in the right direction.

While performances have rarely been much of an issue, their recent success at Valladolid was their first in nine La Liga matches, leaving Gracia full of optimism ahead of another important game.

Nevertheless, with trips to Atletico Madrid, Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid to come before the middle of February, Valencia cannot afford to lose to opponents who have struggled to stay in the mix.

Without a league win since October 24, Jagoba Arrasate will feel fortunate to still be in a job, but he will remain confident that his players will eventually deliver the results that are required to avoid relegation.

Even though a goalless draw with Real Madrid was followed by a defeat at Granada, comfortably overcoming Espanyol in the Copa del Rey has lifted the mood behind the scenes.

Osasuna head into the game at the Mestalla with the second-worst away record in the division, registering just six points and seven goals in nine matches.

However, Valencia have prevailed in just two of the fixtures at their home ground this season, something which will not be lost on Arrasate and his players.

Valencia La Liga form: DDLLDW
Valencia form (all competitions): LLDWWW

Osasuna La Liga form: LDDDDL
Osasuna form (all competitions): DDWDLW


Team News

Osasuna head coach Jagoba Arrasate pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Arrasate could hand a recall to Kike Barja after he netted his second Copa del Rey goal in as many games against Espanyol.

Ante Budimir is also pushing for an opportunity ahead of Jonathan Calleri, who has failed to score in his last two La Liga outings.

Having made changes for the cup tie at Alcorcon, Gracia may revert to the team which defeated Valladolid on January 10.

That would see the likes of Eliaquim Mangala and Yunus Musah having to make do with a place on the substitutes' bench.

They could be joined by Goncalo Guedes, who is available again after serving a suspension.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Domenech; Correia, Diakhaby, Guillamon, Gaya; Wass, Soler, Racic, Cheryshev; Kang-in, Gomez

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Roncaglia, Navas, U.Garcia, Cruz; Barja, Sanjurjo, Moncayola, Jony; Garcia; Budemir


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 2-1 Osasuna

Despite five places separating the clubs in the La Liga table, everything could change with an away win. However, having built some momentum in recent weeks, we expect Valencia to battle their way to another important three points.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Osasuna

Valencia
83.4%
Draw
13.9%
Osasuna
2.6%
151
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Valencia's Carlos Soler celebrates scoring against Real Madrid in La Liga on November 8, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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