Sep 12, 2026 8.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Alan García 44'
Santiago Benítez 90'+3'

Maximiliano Silvera 62'
Maximiliano Silvera 80'
Tiziano Correa 81'
Emiliano Ancheta 90'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

L
W
L
D
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
D
W
L

Last game

Sep 5, 2026 10.00pm

Maldonado 2 - 0 Wanderers

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Luciano Cosentino

Nacional

All competitions

D
W
W
L
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
L
L
W

Last game

Sep 6, 2026 8.30pm

Nacional 2 - 2 Juventud

Goals scored

40

Top scorer

Maxi Gomez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.06% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.13%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 27.53% ▲ (+0.41)

Draw 30.06% ▲ (+0.12)

Nacional 42.42% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score:

48.3% ▲ (+0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.36% ▲ (+0.54)

Under 1.5 32.64% ▼ (-0.54)

Over 2.5 40.41% ▲ (+0.62)

Under 2.5 59.59% ▼ (-0.62)

Over 3.5 20.69% ▲ (+0.45)

Under 3.5 79.31% ▼ (-0.44)

Over 4.5 10.31% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 4.5 89.69% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 21.53% ▲ (+0.47)

Draw 47.7% ▼ (-0.54)

Nacional 30.78% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 37.9% ▲ (+0.20)

No Goal 10.4% ▼ (-0.28)

Nacional 51.7% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 50.24% ▼ (-0.40)

Equal 8 12.16%

Under 8 37.59% ▲ (+0.39)

Over 9 38.56% ▼ (-0.36)

Equal 9 11.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 9 49.76% ▲ (+0.40)

Over 10.5 28.26% ▼ (-0.30)

Under 10.5 71.74% ▲ (+0.30)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 25.67% ▲ (+0.75)

Under 1.5 74.33% ▼ (-0.74)

Over 2.5 7.55% ▲ (+0.42)

Under 2.5 92.45% ▼ (-0.43)

Over 3.5 1.84% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 3.5 98.16% ▼ (-0.16)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 71.98% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 0.5 28.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 1.5 36.62% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 1.5 63.38% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 4.26%

Under 3.5 95.74%

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 27.54%

Draw 30.05%

Nacional 42.41%

Montevideo Wanderers

1-0 @ 9.53%

2-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.13)

2-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.09)

3-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.10)

Total : 27.54%

Draw

1-1 @ 14.13% ▲ (+0.06)

0-0 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.28)

2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.17)

Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Total : 30.05%

Nacional

0-1 @ 12.71% ▼ (-0.25)

1-2 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.06)

0-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.17)

1-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)

2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Total : 42.41%

Head to Head

Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Bruno Zuculini 14'
Alexis Martín Arias 53'
Sebastián Coates 59'
Luciano Boggio 90'+2'
Maxi Gómez 90'+6'

Luciano Cosentino 23'
Fabricio Formiliano 38'
Nicolás Queiróz 45'
Joaquín Zeballos 90'
Alan García 90'+4'

Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Lucas Rodríguez 46'
Maximiliano Silvera 45'+2'
Tomás Verón Lupi 65'
Juan Cruz de los Santos 65'
Tomás Verón Lupi 70'
Agustín Dos Santos 77'
Gonzalo Carneiro 83'

Lisandro Bajú 46'
Santiago Benítez 61'
Esteban Crucci 61'
Leandro Zazpe 77'
Alan García 77'

Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 27, 2025 12.15am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Christian Oliva 29'
Christian Oliva 29'
Nicolas Lopez 40'
Nicolas Lopez 40'
Nicolas Lopez 45'+1'
Nicolas Lopez 45'+1'
Nicolas Lopez 51'
Nicolas Lopez 51'
Luciano Boggio 90'+5'
Luciano Boggio 90'+5'

Emiliano Garcia 29'
Emiliano Garcia 29'
Leandro Zazpe 39'
Leandro Zazpe 39'
Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'

Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Paulo Lima 27'
Mario Risso 51'

Nicolas Lopez 4'
Leandro Lozano 59'
Gaston Gonzalez 70'

Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Osinachi Ebere 11'
Emiliano Velazquez 53'
Felipe Cairus 77'
Ruben Bentancourt 87'

Matias Fonseca 44'
Francisco Cerro 44'
Mario Risso 83'

Form Data

Maldonado 2 - 0 Wanderers

Wanderers 3 - 0 Central Español

Torque 5 - 1 Wanderers

Wanderers 1 - 1 Cerro Largo

Defensor 0 - 1 Wanderers

Penarol 5 - 1 Wanderers

Nacional 2 - 2 Juventud

Penarol 0 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Progreso

Racing 2 - 0 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 2 Boston River

Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso