Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2026 8.30pm
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 10.00pm
Maldonado 2 - 0 Wanderers
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Luciano Cosentino

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 8.30pm
Nacional 2 - 2 Juventud
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Maxi Gomez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 42.92%. A draw has a probability of 29.94% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (14.08%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it is 1-0 (9.53%).

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 27.13% (+0.19)
Draw 29.94% (-0.13)
Nacional 42.92% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.51% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.83% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.17% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.79% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 60.21% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 20.25%
Under 3.5 79.75%
Over 4.5 10.1% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.9% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 21.07% (+0.15)
Draw 48.24% (+0.43)
Nacional 30.7% (-0.56)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 37.7% (+0.58)
No Goal 10.68% (+0.05)
Nacional 51.62% (-0.63)

Corners

Over 8 50.63% (-0.47)
Equal 8 12.16% (+0.07)
Under 8 37.21% (+0.40)
Over 9 38.92% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.37% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 28.56% (-0.45)
Under 10.5 71.44% (+0.44)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 24.93% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 75.07% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 7.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 92.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.68% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.32% (-0.03)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 71.91% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.09% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 36.53% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 63.47% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.11% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 85.89% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.26% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.74% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 27.13%
Draw 29.94%
Nacional 42.93%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.37% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.81% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.97% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.43%
3-2 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.05)
Total : 27.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.08% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.68% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.04)
Total : 29.94%
Nacional
0-1 @ 12.96% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.14% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.22% (-0.05)
Total : 42.93%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Bruno Zuculini 14' yellowcard
  • Alexis Martín Arias 53' redcard
  • Sebastián Coates   59' yellowcard
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+2' goal
  • Maxi Gómez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Cosentino 23'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Formiliano  38'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Queiróz 45'
  • goal Joaquín Zeballos 90'
  • yellowcard Alan García 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Lucas Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Silvera 45'+2' goal
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz de los Santos 65' yellowcard
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 70' goal
  • Agustín Dos Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Bajú 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Benítez 61'
  • yellowcard Esteban Crucci 61'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 77'
  • yellowcard Alan García 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Paulo Lima 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 51' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 59'
  • goal Gaston Gonzalez 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Osinachi Ebere 11' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 53' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cairus 77' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 87' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 44'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 83'