Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 11.00pm
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Montevideo Wanderers vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 7.00pm
Torque 5 - 1 Wanderers
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Luciano Cosentino

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Central Español 0 - 1 Juventud
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Lucas Pino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.72%. A draw has a probability of 29.65% and a win for Central Español has a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.61%) , while for a Central Español win it is 0-1 (10.7%).

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 43.72% (-0.06)
Draw 29.65% (+0.04)
Central Español 26.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.95% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 37.05% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 36.16% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 63.84% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 17.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.93% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.19% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.81% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 29.99% (-0.02)
Draw 49.31% (+0.03)
Central Español 20.7% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 49.79%
No Goal 12%
Central Español 38.21%

Corners

Over 8 53.7% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 34.43% (-0.03)
Over 9 41.99% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.3% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 31.38% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.62% (-0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 34.51%
Under 1.5 65.49%
Over 2.5 12.28%
Under 2.5 87.72%
Over 3.5 3.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.42% (-0.02)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 58.39% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 41.61% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.9% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.1% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.55% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.45% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.35%
Under 3.5 98.65%

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 43.72%
Draw 29.66%
Central Español 26.63%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57% (+0.01)
Total : 43.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.61% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 12%
2-2 @ 3.79% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.66%
Central Español
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 26.63%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Nicolás Campos 71' yellowcard
  • Máximo Alonso 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Milán 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Bajú 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rivero 71'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Zeballos 71'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 79'
  • yellowcard Alan García 86'
  • yellowcard Santiago Benítez 86'