Copa Libertadores
May 14, 2025 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
  • Matias Sepulveda 30' goal
  • Matias Sepulveda 30' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 65' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 65' goal
  • Matias Zaldivia 70' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaldivia 70' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaldivia 81' goal
  • Matias Zaldivia 81' goal
  • Israel Poblete 90' goal
  • Israel Poblete 90' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Hernandez 13'
  • yellowcard Robert Hernandez 13'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Congo 36'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Congo 36'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Aponte 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Aponte 83'

Universidad de Chile vs Carabobo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad de Chile

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 8, 2025 1.00am
Universidad 0 - 3 Estudiantes

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2025 11.00pm
Carabobo 1 - 2 Botafogo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad de Chile would win this match.

Result

Universidad de Chile 59.66% (-0.37)
Draw 24.43% (+0.18)
Carabobo 15.91% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.65% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.32% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 58.68% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 20.78% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 79.22% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 8.79% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 91.21% (+0.16)

Universidad de Chile Goals

Over 0.5 80.42% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 19.58% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 48.49% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 51.51% (+0.45)

Carabobo Goals

Over 0.5 50.55% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 49.45% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 15.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 84.27% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Universidad de Chile 59.65%
Draw 24.42%
Carabobo 15.91%
Universidad de Chile
1-0 @ 15.78% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 12.87% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 59.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 9.68% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.42%
Carabobo
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 3.92% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.4% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 15.91%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 23, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
  • Edson Tortolero 21' goal
  • yellowcard Franco Calderon 21'
  • yellowcard Matias Zaldivia 25'
  • goal Charles Aranguiz 42'
  • yellowcard Fabian Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios 55'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Contreras 88'