Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
0
1
Aband. Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • goal Peter Mandela Itodo 14'
  • yellowcard Ramik Gadzhyev 40'

Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
Polissya 1 - 2 Luhansk
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Pylyp Budkivskyi

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 1 Shakhtar
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Peter Mandela Itodo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Zorya Luhansk has a probability of 31.85% and a draw has a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win is 2-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Zorya Luhansk 31.85% (+0.22)
Draw 26.14% (+0.02)
Metalist Kharkiv 42.01% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.2% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 23.8% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 52.56% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 47.44% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 29.75% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 70.25% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 16.61% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 83.39% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Zorya Luhansk 25.1% (+0.07)
Draw 40.86% (+0.15)
Metalist Kharkiv 34.04% (-0.21)

Team To Score First

Zorya Luhansk 43.04% (+0.15)
No Goal 7.14% (+0.05)
Metalist Kharkiv 49.82% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 49.17% (+0.58)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.01)
Under 8 38.51% (-0.59)
Over 9 37.43% (+0.51)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.08)
Under 9 50.83% (-0.58)
Over 10.5 27.17% (+0.42)
Under 10.5 72.83% (-0.41)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 1.5 34.13% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.87% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.71% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.29% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.05% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.95% (-0.02)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 74.06% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 25.94% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 41.99% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 58.01% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 18.4% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 81.6% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.33% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.67% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Zorya Luhansk 31.84%
Draw 26.13%
Metalist Kharkiv 42.02%
Zorya Luhansk
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.96% (+0.03)
Total : 31.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.14% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 26.13%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 6.24% (-0.09)
Total : 42.02%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Igor Gorbach 10' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 62' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Jelavic 62' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Jelavic 63' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 63' yellowcard
  • Kyrylo Dryshlyuk 80' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 90'+1' goal
  • goal Peter Mandela Itodo 1'
  • yellowcard Denys Antyukh 22'
  • yellowcard Baton Zabergja 59'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 59'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 60'
  • yellowcard Baton Zabergja 60'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Churko 82'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 82'
Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 11.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Livyi Bereh
  • Eduardo Guerrero 41' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 76' goal
  • Alioune Ndour 88' yellowcard
  • Jakov Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Yusov 26'
  • goal Dmitriy Yusov 63'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Vladyslav Dmytrenko 6' goal
  • Andriy Boryachuk 28' goal
  • Beka Vachiberadze 62' yellowcard
  • Andrii Chyruk 77' yellowcard
  • Oleh Mozil 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 17'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Myshnyov 30'
  • yellowcard Denys Nagnoynyi 68'
  • yellowcard Wendell Silva Santos dos Santos 84'
  • yellowcard Ihor Snurnitsyn 86'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 25
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 7' goal
  • Nazariy Rusyn 48' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 52' goal
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • goal Vyacheslav Churko 38'
  • goal Denys Nagnoynyi 45'
  • goal Maksym Imerekov 58'