Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2026 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Jordan 74' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Mandela Itodo 14'
  • yellowcard Ramik Gadzhyev 40'
  • goal Baton Zabergja 55'
  • goal Baton Zabergja 64'

Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
Polissya 1 - 2 Luhansk
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Pylyp Budkivskyi

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 1 Shakhtar
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Baton Zabergja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Zorya Luhansk 31.85% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 26.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Metalist Kharkiv 42.01% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.2% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 23.8% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 52.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 47.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 29.75% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 70.25% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 16.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 83.39% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Zorya Luhansk 25.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 40.86% ▲ (+0.15)
Metalist Kharkiv 34.04% ▼ (-0.21)

Team To Score First

Zorya Luhansk 43.04% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 7.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Metalist Kharkiv 49.82% ▼ (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 49.17% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 8 12.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 38.51% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 9 37.43% ▲ (+0.51)
Equal 9 11.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 50.83% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 10.5 27.17% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 10.5 72.83% ▼ (-0.41)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 1.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 74.06% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 25.94% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 41.99% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 58.01% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 18.4% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 81.6% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Zorya Luhansk 31.84%
Draw 26.13%
Metalist Kharkiv 42.02%
Zorya Luhansk
2-1 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.13%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-2 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 42.02%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Igor Gorbach 10' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 62' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Jelavic 62' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Jelavic 63' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 63' yellowcard
  • Kyrylo Dryshlyuk 80' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 90'+1' goal
  • goal Peter Mandela Itodo 1'
  • yellowcard Denys Antyukh 22'
  • yellowcard Baton Zabergja 59'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 59'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 60'
  • yellowcard Baton Zabergja 60'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Churko 82'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 82'
Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 11.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Livyi Bereh
  • Eduardo Guerrero 41' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 76' goal
  • Alioune Ndour 88' yellowcard
  • Jakov Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Yusov 26'
  • goal Dmitriy Yusov 63'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Vladyslav Dmytrenko 6' goal
  • Andriy Boryachuk 28' goal
  • Beka Vachiberadze 62' yellowcard
  • Andrii Chyruk 77' yellowcard
  • Oleh Mozil 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 17'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Myshnyov 30'
  • yellowcard Denys Nagnoynyi 68'
  • yellowcard Wendell Silva Santos dos Santos 84'
  • yellowcard Ihor Snurnitsyn 86'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 25
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 7' goal
  • Nazariy Rusyn 48' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 52' goal
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • goal Vyacheslav Churko 38'
  • goal Denys Nagnoynyi 45'
  • goal Maksym Imerekov 58'