Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 23, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya Luhansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
Karpaty 2 - 0 Veres
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Yan Kostenko

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 18, 2026 11.00am
Luhansk 0 - 0 Polissya
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Nemanja Anđušić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Zorya Luhansk has a probability of 28.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win is 0-1 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

Karpaty Lviv 46.03% (-0.02)
Draw 25.08%
Zorya Luhansk 28.88% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.49% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.51% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 54.55% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 45.45% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 33.11% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.89% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.07% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.93% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Karpaty Lviv 36.64% (-0.14)
Draw 42.39% (+0.04)
Zorya Luhansk 20.97% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Karpaty Lviv 55.21% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.17% (+0.01)
Zorya Luhansk 38.62% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.23% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.14% (-0.02)
Under 8 26.63%
Over 9 50.45% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.77% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.77% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 39.08% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 60.92% (-0.05)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 1.5 46.93% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 53.07% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 21.39% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 78.61% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.91% (+0.04)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 34.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.54% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.46% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.78% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.92%
Under 3.5 96.08%

Score analysis

Karpaty Lviv 46.03%
Draw 25.07%
Zorya Luhansk 28.89%
Karpaty Lviv
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 7.83% (-0.02)
Total : 46.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 25.07%
Zorya Luhansk
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.66% (+0.02)
Total : 28.89%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pylyp Budkivskyi 28' goal
  • Pylyp Budkivskyi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Baboglo 81'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Ukrajina
  • Vladyslav Baboglo 17' goal
  • goal Jordan 25'
  • yellowcard Kyrylo Dryshliuk 26'
  • goal Petar Micin 57'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Pylyp Budkivskyi 70'
  • goal Artem Slesar 73'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Artem Slesar 40' yellowcard
  • Pylyp Budkivskyi 42' yellowcard
  • Kyrylo Dryshliuk 65' yellowcard
  • Petar Micin 69' goal
  • Petar Micin 80' goal
  • Jakov Basic 84' yellowcard
  • Denys Miroshnichenko 84' yellowcard
  • goal Pavlo Polehenko 20'
  • yellowcard Yan Kostenko 46'
  • yellowcard Jean Pedroso 74'
  • yellowcard Pablo Alvarez Garcia 77'
  • yellowcard Petar Micin 84'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Baboglo 84'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 30, 2019 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhzhya (Zaporozh'ye))
  • Vitaliy Vernydub 54' goal
  • Dmitriy Ivanisenya 58' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Lednev 63' yellowcard
  • Joel Abu Hanna 66' yellowcard
  • Nazariy Rusyn 87' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Martins 56'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Deda 59'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Ukrajina (L'viv)
  • Francisco Di Franco 67' yellowcard
  • Cristian Ponde 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mykyta Kamenyuka 52'
  • goal Pylyp Budkivskyi 58'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Ivanisenia 67'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Khomchenovskiy 79'
  • yellowcard Maksym Bily 85'
  • yellowcard Pylyp Budkivskyi 89'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dmytro Khomchenovskiy 16' goal
  • Silas Araujo Da Silva 66' yellowcard
  • Artem Gordienko 71' goal
  • Ihor Kharatin 91' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Tymchyk 93' yellowcard
  • goal Marian Shved 34'
  • yellowcard Cristian Ponde 50'
  • yellowcard Denis Miroshnichenko 68'
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 76'