Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 12, 2026 11.00am
KSK Nika

FC Oleksandriya vs Zorya Luhansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Oleksandriya

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
Polissya 2 - 1 Oleksandriya
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Mateus Amaral

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
Luhansk 1 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Nemanja Anđušić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw has a probability of 24.27% and a win for FC Oleksandriya has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a FC Oleksandriya win it is 1-0 (7.2%).

Result

FC Oleksandriya 23.7% (-0.82)
Draw 24.27% (+0.04)
Zorya Luhansk 51.97% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 25.56% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 50.13% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 49.87% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 28.71% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 71.29% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 16.77% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 83.23% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

FC Oleksandriya 21.12% (-0.17)
Draw 42.66% (+0.27)
Zorya Luhansk 36.21% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

FC Oleksandriya 36.16% (-0.61)
No Goal 7.39% (+0.13)
Zorya Luhansk 56.45% (+0.49)

Corners

Over 8 61.83% (-0.32)
Equal 8 10.96% (-0.11)
Under 8 27.2% (+0.42)
Over 9 50.3% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.16)
Under 9 38.17% (+0.32)
Over 10.5 39.16%
Under 10.5 60.84%

FC Oleksandriya Goals

Over 1.5 25.08% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 74.92% (+1.10)
Over 2.5 8.35% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 91.65% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.16)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5 78.24% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 21.76% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 48.64% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 51.36% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 23.79% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 76.21% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 8.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Oleksandriya 23.71%
Draw 24.27%
Zorya Luhansk 51.97%
FC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 7.2% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.26)
Other @ 2.25% (-0.13)
Total : 23.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.27%
Zorya Luhansk
0-1 @ 10.92% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 9.46% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 5.75% (+0.34)
1-3 @ 5.31% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.78% (+0.04)
Total : 51.97%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 18
Feb 23, 2025 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT KSK Nika
  • Oleksandr Filippov 45'+1' goal
  • Oleksandr Filippov 47' goal
  • Heorhii Ermakov 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Heorhii Ermakov 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Petar Micin 15'
  • goal Roman Vantukh 43'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Vakula 68'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2024 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Christopher Nwanze 30' yellowcard
  • Jordan 51' goal
  • Jordan 86' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Yatsyk 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Alvina 23'
  • goal Kyrylo Kovalets 32'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Sergiy Loginov 18' yellowcard
  • Miguel Campos 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan 63'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Myshnyov 68'
  • redcard Jordan 72'
  • yellowcard Bohdan Butko 89'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Guerrero 89'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 18, 2023 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Jordan 7' yellowcard
  • N. Lalatovic 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Viktor Dolgyi 8'
  • yellowcard Kyrylo Kovalets 33'
  • yellowcard Roman Savchenko 85'
  • redcard 91'+2'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 28, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT KSK Nika
  • goal Nazariy Rusyn 9'
  • goal Serhiy Buletsa 24'