Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.