Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Oleg Fedor 16' goal
  • Ruslan Babenko  54' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Glushchenko 59'
  • goal Ivan Nesterenko 63'
  • yellowcard Ivan Nesterenko 73'

Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya Luhansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 1.30pm
Polissya 3 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 11.00am
Luhansk 1 - 3 Kryvbas Kryvyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.93% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Polissya Zhytomyr 55.99% ▲ (+1.50)
Draw 23.93% ▼ (-0.52)
Zorya Luhansk 20.07% ▼ (-1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% ▼ (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.79% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 23.21% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 53.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 46.57% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 30.73% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 69.27% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 4.5 18.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.79% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Polissya Zhytomyr 41.29% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 40% ▲ (+0.32)
Zorya Luhansk 18.7% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Polissya Zhytomyr 60.14% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Zorya Luhansk 33.34% ▼ (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 56.27% ▼ (-3.30)
Equal 8 11.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 32.34% ▲ (+3.21)
Over 9 44.82% ▼ (-3.08)
Equal 9 11.45% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 9 43.73% ▲ (+3.30)
Over 10.5 34.23% ▼ (-2.61)
Under 10.5 65.77% ▲ (+2.60)

Polissya Zhytomyr Goals

Over 1.5 52.82% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 1.5 47.18% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 2.5 26.13% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 73.87% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 10.29% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 89.71% ▼ (-0.29)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5 57.61% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 0.5 42.39% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 1.5 23.76% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 76.24% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 2.5 7.05% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 92.95% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 1.98% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.02% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Polissya Zhytomyr 56%
Draw 23.94%
Zorya Luhansk 20.08%
Polissya Zhytomyr
2-1 @ 10.85% ▲ (+0.22)
1-0 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.51)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.34)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.94%
Zorya Luhansk
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.16)
1-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 20.08%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 18, 2026 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Navin Malysh 69' yellowcard
  • Jakov Basic 69' yellowcard
  • Kyrylo Dryshlyuk 78' yellowcard
  • Reynaldiño Verley 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Filippov 58'
  • yellowcard Mykola Gayduchyk 58'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Veleten 83'
Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 2.00pm
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 17, 2025 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Zan Trontelj 90' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Batista 33'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Maisuradze 61'
  • yellowcard Andi Hadroj 73'
  • yellowcard Sergiy Chobotenko 89'
  • yellowcard Admir Bristric 90'+3'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Lucas Taylor 69' yellowcard
  • Eduard Sarapiy 84' goal
  • Ruslan Babenko 86' yellowcard
  • Admir Bristric 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan 27'
  • yellowcard Roman Vantukh 30'
  • goal Pylyp Budkivskyi 65'
  • redcard Roman Vantukh 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Eskinja 73'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 5, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Ivan Petryak 16' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Nazarenko 23' goal
  • Talles Costa 71' yellowcard
  • Mykyta Kravchenko 83' yellowcard
  • Denys Ndukwe 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Yatsyk 11'
  • redcard Oleksandr Yatsyk 36'
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 60'
  • yellowcard Kodjo Aziangbe 81'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Ihor Snurnitsyn 55' yellowcard
  • Kodjo Aziangbe 82' yellowcard
  • goal Beni Makouana 16'
  • yellowcard Mykyta Kravchenko 84'
  • yellowcard Ihor Snurnitsyn 85'