Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.35%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.