UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK

Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)

Turkey
3 - 1
Hungary

(Turkey win 6-1 on aggregate)

Kokcu (9'), Akturkoglu (69'), Kahveci (73')
Kokcu (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Schafer (25')
Schafer (19'), Nagy (64'), Kata (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	6	14	14
2	Netherlands	6	6	9
3	Hungary	6	-7	6
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-13	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Hungary
61.8% ( 0.17)	21.54% ( -0.3)	16.66% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

1.48)

46.6% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

1.37)

68.87% (

-1.37)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

0.54)

14.54% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.42% (

1.03)

42.58% (

-1.04)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77% (

1.05)

41.22% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24% (

0.91)

77.75% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Turkey 61.79%

Hungary 16.66%

Draw 21.54%

Turkey	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.79%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.54%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.66%