Leagues Cup
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Helinho 53' goal
  • Nicolás Castro 66' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 69' yellowcard
  • Brian García 84' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Besard Sabovic 29'
  • redcard J. Rosales 40'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Svatok 50'

Toluca vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Austin FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.02% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%) , while for a Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 68% (+0.07)
Draw 18.02% (-0.04)
Austin FC 13.98% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.16% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 17.84% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.18%
Under 2.5 37.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 26.71% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.29% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Toluca 54.27% (-0.52)
Draw 33.22% (+0.25)
Austin FC 12.5% (+0.26)

Team To Score First

Toluca 72.17% (-0.07)
No Goal 4.44% (-0.01)
Austin FC 23.39% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.32% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.12% (-0.07)
Under 8 27.57% (+0.15)
Over 9 51.64% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.68% (-0.08)
Under 9 37.68% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 41.22% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 58.78% (-0.05)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 65.04% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 34.96% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 39.45% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 60.55% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 20.06% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 79.94% (+0.04)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 47.69%
Under 0.5 52.31%
Over 1.5 18.82% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.18% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.38% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.62% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.33% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.67% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 68.01%
Draw 18.02%
Austin FC 13.98%
Toluca
2-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 19.92% (-0.04)
Total : 68.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.21%
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.02%
Austin FC
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-1 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Total : 13.98%