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Sweden national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Spain national football team

Sweden
2 - 1
Spain

Isak (5'), Claesson (57')
Kulusevski (34'), Krafth (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soler (4')
Alba (35'), Busquets (40')

Preview: Sweden vs. Spain - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Sweden and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sweden and Spain will both return to international action on Thursday, when they square off in World Cup Qualifying action.

The two nations have both had strong starts to qualification, while they also come into the upcoming round of fixtures on the back of relatively impressive showings at Euro 2020 in the summer, as the visitors narrowly missed out in the semi-finals.


Match preview

Spain coach Luis Enrique on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Sweden began their World Cup Qualifying in March with a 1-0 victory over Georgia, as Viktor Claesson netted the only goal of the game, before they made it back-to-back wins with a 3-0 victory in Kosovo thanks to goals from Ludwig Augustinsson, Alexander Isak and Sebastian Larsson.

Having made a perfect start to the group, Janne Andersson's side headed into the delayed Euro 2020 tournament with high hopes, and they picked up a point in the opening group game as they held Spain to a goalless draw.

A 1-0 victory over Slovakia and a 3-2 win over Poland saw the Blagult pip Thursday's opponents to top spot in Group E, and they met Ukraine in the round of 16, only to fall short in the dying minutes of extra time after Emil Forsberg had cancelled out Oleksandr Zinchenko's first-half opener.

Despite the disappointment of a 2-1 defeat in the first knockout round, Andersson's men took noticeable steps in the summer's tournament, and they now return to action with the hopes of continuing a strong World Cup Qualifying campaign in their bid to reach next year's competition after reaching the quarter-finals in 2018.

They take on a Spanish side who will look to build on a run deep into the European Championships with a victory to move clear at the top of the qualifying group.

Sweden's Emil Forsberg celebrates scoring their second goal against Poland at Euro 2020 on June 23, 2021© Reuters

Luis Enrique's men started their World Cup Qualifying campaign with a 1-1 draw against Greece, before they bounced back with a 2-1 away victory over Georgia, as Dani Olmo netted an injury-time winner after Ferran Torres had drawn them level.

They then made it back-to-back wins by beating Kosovo 3-1, with Olmo and Torres again on the scoresheet before Gerard Moreno sealed the victory to take them to seven points from three games.

La Roja then went into Euro 2020, and despite a slow start, they ensured qualification for the knockout stage with a 5-0 victory over Slovakia as Aymeric Laporte, Pablo Sarabia and Torres all found the net alongside own goals from Martin Dubravka and Juraj Kucka.

Enrique's men met Croatia in the round of 16, and a late Mario Pasalic equaliser saw them held to a 3-3 draw after a dramatic encounter, but Alvaro Morata and Mikel Oyarzabal both got on the scoresheet in the additional 30 minutes to fire their nation through to the final eight.

Their clash with Switzerland also went to extra time following a 1-1 draw, and with no change in the scoreline, they advanced after a penalty shootout win as Oyarzabal hit the winning spot kick.

For the third straight game, their semi-final tie with Italy finished level after Morata's 80th-minute equaliser, and Enrique's side fell short in the shootout to the eventual winners, but certainly gave an impressive account of themselves, having not been widely fancied before the tournament.

With Sweden having played a game fewer in the qualifying group, Spain will hope to pick up a third straight group win to put some distance between themselves and the second-placed side to strengthen their position for next year's World Cup.

Sweden World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W
  • W

Sweden form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Spain World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • D
  • W
  • W

Spain form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Spain's Mikel Oyarzabal celebrates scoring their fifth goal against Croatia at Euro 2020 on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Sweden will be without centre-back Marcus Danielson, who will serve a competitive suspension after his red card in the Euro 2020 defeat to Ukraine.

In his absence, Rangers defender Filip Helander will likely come in alongside Manchester United centre-back Victor Lindelof, who will wear the armband.

Real Sociedad forward Alexander Isak should lead the line, after he caught eyes with several impressive performances at the European Championships.

Arguably the standout player of their Euro 2020 campaign was midfielder Emil Forsberg, who hit four goals in four appearances and will continue to be a key man.

Spain will not have Barcelona midfielder Pedri, who has been left out of the squad to rest after featuring in more games in Europe than any other player last season, including being a key cog at Euro 2020 at the tender age of 18.

Pau Torres, Mikel Oyarzabal and Dani Olmo have also been rested after featuring in Euro 2020 and the Olympic Games in quick succession over the summer, while Thiago Alcantara, Diego Llorente and Fabian Ruiz were the other players not to remain in the squad.

Ferran Torres has impressed for Manchester City in the early stages of the Premier League season, and he could be handed a start in the front line.

Luis Enrique deployed Unai Simon as his first-choice goalkeeper at the European Championships, but he could take this opportunity to hand a first cap to Robert Sanchez, who earned his place in the squad with a strong run of form for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Aymeric Laporte recently declared for the Spanish national team, and the Manchester City centre-back could play alongside former teammate Eric Garcia, having already made himself a crucial part of their back line.

Sweden possible starting lineup:
Olsen; Lustig, Lindelof, Helander, Augustinsson; Larsson, Olsson, Ekdal, Forsberg; Isak, Kulusevski

Spain possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Azpilicueta, Garcia, Laporte, Gaya; Busquets, Koke, Rodri; Torres, Morata, Moreno


SM words green background

We say: Sweden 1-1 Spain

Sweden will certainly be no pushovers on Thursday, and given their impressive quality and Spain's weakened squad, we do not see La Roja winning on their travels.

We are instead opting for a draw that should be relatively pleasing for both nations, as they look to keep hold of the top spots in the qualifying group.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 37.25%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 31.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.64%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-0 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sweden vs Spain

Sweden
22.9%
Draw
30.8%
Spain
46.3%
201
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Spain players celebrate Mikel Oyarzabal's goal against Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League on October 10, 2020
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