Barnsley play host to Swansea City in the first leg of their Championship playoff semi-final looking to move a step closer to an unlikely promotion to the Premier League.
While The Tykes ended the season with a draw against champions Norwich City, the fourth-placed visitors were comfortably defeated by runners-up Watford.
Match preview
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Despite having claimed a playoff spot with several matches to spare, the majority of Barnsley supporters will still feel like they are in dreamland after a memorable seven months under Valerien Ismael.
While the Tykes were far more inconsistent during the final eight weeks of the campaign, picking up 14 points from their remaining nine games was more than enough to see off the challenge of Reading.
Over two decades on from their last appearance in the Premier League, Ismael has had to work hard to prevent his squad from getting distracted by the talk and emotion outside of the dressing room.
Nevertheless, he will not want to lose any of the passion and energy which has got them to this stage, and the Frenchman will take encouragement from the 2-2 draw against the all-conquering Canaries last weekend.
Daryl Dike and Carlton Morris have scored 16 goals between them since their January arrivals, the clear difference maker between mid-table and fifth position.
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Having spent much of the season competing for automatic promotion, Steve Cooper will still be frustrated that his Swansea side tailed off during the closing two months of the season.
The Welsh outfit prevailed in just three of their final 11 matches, a period which included four successive defeats between March 16 and April 5.
Swansea improved in the final three matches, claiming a draw away at then-rivals Reading and coming from behind to overcome Derby County at the Liberty Stadium.
However, Swansea have conceded the first goal in their last five fixtures, a streak which realistically needs to be ended if they want to return to the top flight.
Andre Ayew and Jamal Lowe have scored 30 of Swansea's 56 goals in the Championship this season, heaping the pressure on the pair to deliver in the final third during this double-header.
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Team News
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Ismael has revealed that Alex Mowatt should be available to return for Barnsley after recovering from a groin injury.
Michael Sollbauer and Dike could also feature in the starting lineup after beginning the game with Norwich as substitutes.
With the Tykes using a back three, Swansea boss Cooper will contemplate reverting back to the system which proved so effective during the first half of the season.
However, everything points to a 4-3-3 formation being used with Liam Cullen joining Ayew and Lowe in the final third.
Ryan Manning and Jake Bidwell are competing for a spot at left-back, but the likes of Korey Smith and Morgan Whittaker are expected to be named on the substitutes' bench.
Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Collins; Andersen, Helik, Sollbauer; Brittain, Palmer, Mowatt, Styles; Chaplin, Dike, Woodrow
Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Roberts, Bennett, Guehi, Manning; Hourihane, Grimes, Fulton; Lowe, Cullen, Ayew
We say: Barnsley 1-1 Swansea City
With these two clubs regarded as outsiders for promotion, we expect nerves to play their part over the two legs. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring first leg with both teams anxious about giving too much away ahead of the reverse fixture.
Top tip
Darren Plant
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
