Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.