Turkish Super Lig
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
  • Adrian Benedyczak 27' goal
  • Mortadha Ben Ouanes 80' yellowcard
  • Pape Habib Guèye 90' yellowcard
  • Pape Habib Guèye 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Batuhan Şen 46'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Kutucu 60'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Kutucu 61'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 78'
  • yellowcard Ismail Jakobs 78'
  • yellowcard Ada Yüzgeç 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Can Armando Güner 90'+3'

Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Genclerbirligi 3 - 2 Kasimpasa

Galatasaray

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Galatasaray 4 - 2 Antalyaspor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Kasimpasa 24.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Galatasaray 51.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.07% ▼ (-0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.06% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 1.5 21.94% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 2.5 55.2% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 2.5 44.8% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 3.5 32.66% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 3.5 67.34% ▼ (-1.26)
Over 4.5 18.87% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 4.5 81.13% ▼ (-0.64)

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 20.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 41.16% ▼ (-0.61)
Galatasaray 38.46% ▲ (+0.76)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 36.9% ▲ (+0.90)
No Goal 5.89% ▼ (-0.31)
Galatasaray 57.21% ▼ (-0.59)

Corners

Over 8 52.97% ▼ (-0.90)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 8 35.05% ▲ (+1.60)
Over 9 41.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.75% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 9 47.03% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 10.5 30.64% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 10.5 69.36% ▼ (-0.66)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 28.61% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 1.5 71.39% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 2.5 9.96% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 90.04% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▼ (-0.24)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 80.22% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 0.5 19.78% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 1.5 50.48% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 49.52% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 2.5 24.49% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 75.51% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 3.5 9.64% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 90.36% ▼ (-0.35)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 24.74%
Draw 24.07%
Galatasaray 51.24%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 24.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 24.07%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 10.35%
0-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 51.24%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2025 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rams Park
  • Yunus Akgun 10' goal
  • Yunus Akgün 10' goal
  • Kazimcan Karatas 51' yellowcard
  • Kazımcan Karataş 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Torreira 68' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Sara 82' goal
  • Mauro Icardi 88' goal
  • yellowcard Emre Belozoglu 73'
  • yellowcard Emre Belözoğlu 73'
  • yellowcard Jhon Espinoza 83'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Mar 2, 2025 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Yasin Ozcan 2' yellowcard
  • Mortadha Ben Ouannes 6' yellowcard
  • Mortadha Ben Ouannes 52' goal
  • Josip Brekalo 55' yellowcard
  • Josip Brekalo 61' goal
  • Haris Hajradinovic 85' goal
  • goal Victor Osimhen 12'
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 65'
  • goal Mario Lemina 69'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 71'
  • yellowcard Carlos Cuesta 84'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Rams Global Stadium
  • Victor Osimhen 20' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 28' goal
  • Mauro Icardi 34' goal
  • Abdulkerim Bardakci 66' yellowcard
  • Dries Mertens 69' yellowcard
  • Okan Buruk 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mamadou Fall 44'
  • yellowcard Haris Hajradinovic 57'
  • yellowcard Gokhan Gul 79'
  • goal Haris Hajradinovic 83'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fall 87'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 1.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Mortadha Ben Ouannes 14' yellowcard
  • Sami Ugurlu 15' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Omeruo 29' yellowcard
  • Mauro Icardi 34' goal
  • Gokhan Gul 53' yellowcard
  • Aytac Kara 57' goal
  • Aytac Kara 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno da Costa 77' goal
  • Claudio Winck 79' redcard
  • goal Dries Mertens 27'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 48'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 83'
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 90'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinicius 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rams Global Stadium
  • Wilfried Zaha 33' goal
  • Sacha Boey 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Zaha 51' goal
  • Abdulkerim Bardakci 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fall 21'
  • goal Kenneth Omeruo 54'
  • yellowcard Claudio Winck 65'
  • yellowcard Dries Saddiki 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT NEF Stadyumu
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 57' goal