Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genclerbirligi win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genclerbirligi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.