Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Genclerbirligi win was 1-0 (10.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.