Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 32
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
  • Adrian Benedyczak 2' goal
  • Godfried Frimpong 90' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Agyei 23'
  • yellowcard Tayfur Bingöl 57'
  • yellowcard Rigoberto Rivas 63'
  • yellowcard Furkan Gedik 89'

Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 6.00pm
Istanbul 4 - 0 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Adrian Benedyczak

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30pm
Genclerbirligi 1 - 0 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 44.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.86% and a win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a Kocaelispor win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Kasimpasa 44.49% (+1.00)
Draw 28.86% (-0.11)
Kocaelispor 26.65% (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.68% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.03% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 33.97% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 40.25% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 59.75% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 20.32% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 79.68% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 10.25% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 89.75% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 30.76%
Draw 45.86%
Kocaelispor 23.38%

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 48.76% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.78% (-0.07)
Kocaelispor 40.46% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 44.53%
Equal 8 12.66%
Under 8 42.81%
Over 9 32.94%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 55.47%
Over 10.5 23.22%
Under 10.5 76.78%

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 37.19% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 62.81% (-0.85)
Over 2.5 14.53% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 85.47% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.22)

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 0.5 58.55% (-0.73)
Under 0.5 41.45% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 24.38% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 75.62% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 7.64% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 92.36% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 2.02% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.98% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 44.48%
Draw 28.86%
Kocaelispor 26.66%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 13.89% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.58% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 8.45% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.79% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.62% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.41% (+0.22)
Total : 44.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.78% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 28.86%
Kocaelispor
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.81% (-0.13)
Total : 26.66%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Dec 7, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ahmet Oguz 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Espinoza 37'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Barasi 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard 69'