Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 44.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.86% and a win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a Kocaelispor win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.