Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 32
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 6.00pm
Istanbul 4 - 0 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Adrian Benedyczak

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30pm
Genclerbirligi 1 - 0 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Serdar Dursun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw has a probability of 29% and a win for Kocaelispor has a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.88%) , while for a Kocaelispor win it is 0-1 (9.63%).

Result

Kasimpasa 43.31% (-0.01)
Draw 29%
Kocaelispor 27.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.72% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 34.28% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 39.88%
Under 2.5 60.12%
Over 3.5 20.07%
Under 3.5 79.93%
Over 4.5 10.07%
Under 4.5 89.93%

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 30.74% (-0.03)
Draw 45.84%
Kocaelispor 23.41% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 48.82% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.89%
Kocaelispor 40.29% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.36% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.62% (+0.01)
Under 8 43.03% (+0.08)
Over 9 32.82% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 55.64% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 23.15% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 76.85% (+0.07)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 36.13%
Under 1.5 63.87%
Over 2.5 13.89%
Under 2.5 86.11%
Over 3.5 4.35%
Under 3.5 95.65%

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 0.5 59.27% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.73% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.98%
Under 1.5 75.02%
Over 2.5 7.96%
Under 2.5 92.04%
Over 3.5 2.13%
Under 3.5 97.87%

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 43.32%
Draw 29%
Kocaelispor 27.68%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 13.76%
2-0 @ 8.33%
2-1 @ 8.29%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 43.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 29%
Kocaelispor
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27.68%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Dec 7, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ahmet Oguz 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Espinoza 37'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Barasi 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard 69'