Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-3 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.