Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Mar 3, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
1 - 0
Sivasspor

Turuc (9')
Ba (52'), Ali Sahiner (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paluli (47'), Koita (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 0-1 Bodrumspor
Saturday, February 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Istanbul Basaksehir.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSivasspor
61.73% (0.745 0.74)21.39% (-0.276 -0.28)16.87% (-0.472 -0.47)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.39400000000001 0.39)45.61% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.376 0.38)67.94% (-0.378 -0.38)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (0.36199999999999 0.36)14.24% (-0.365 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (0.701 0.7)41.99% (-0.704 -0.7)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (-0.338 -0.34)40.37% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (-0.307 -0.31)76.98% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 61.72%
    Sivasspor 16.87%
    Draw 21.39%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSivasspor
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 61.72%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Sivasspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Sivasspor
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 7
Sivasspor
1-2
Istanbul
Menig (82')
Erdal (90+7')
Figueiredo (43', 49')
Ozdemir (60'), Atan (61'), Ba (81'), Turuc (84'), Gureler (90+1')
May 12, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 36
Sivasspor
0-1
Istanbul

Charisis (36'), Poungouras (71')
Akdag (45+2')
Davidson (29')
Davidson (42'), Ba (47')
Atan (41')
Dec 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Istanbul
3-1
Sivasspor
Piatek (45' pen., 51' pen.), Pelkas (62')
Turuc (65')
Saiz (26')
Ciftci (63'), Charisis (83')
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Sivasspor
1-1
Istanbul
Duarte (37' og.)
Szysz (61')
Oct 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Istanbul
0-2
Sivasspor
Saba (45+2' pen., 85')
rhs 2.0


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