Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.